And, a bit later, we can cross-check with the ONS figures to project an IFR, which, if it gets down to 0.1%, will mean that covid deaths are statistically indistinguishable from zero by that stage. W… (View Post)

Nah; personally, I've been expecting a brief plateau until the second doses kick in. It's at a very low level, the CFR is down to 0.4% (from over 3.6% in December), and the Hospitalisation … (View Post)

It's all down to how reciprocal curves go. 1 / 0.9 = 1.111 1 / 0.8 = 1.250 1 / 0.7 = 1.429 1 / 0.6 = 1.666 1 / 0.5 = 2.000 1 / 0.4 = 2.500 1 / 0.3 = 3.333 1 / 0.2 = 5.000 1 / 0.1 = 10.00 Every s… (View Post)

It was a beautiful illustration of my entire point about cherry-picking. I'm tempted to believe it was deliberate and tongue-in-cheek by him. (View Post)

Ah, the denialist switching around to try to cherry-pick whatever they can. We don't hear about Brazil, the major country run by a true Lockdown Sceptic. Or Chile, or Uruguay, or Poland, or Czec… (View Post)