The school mixing will be a major concern. I don’t know if they’ll gamble on sooner. Achievable? Well, 7,000 vaccinators giving 65 jabs each per day (plus whatever support they need) would give over … (View Post)

And Boris just told us that we’d be looking at Groups 1-4 by the middle of February. That’s about 14 million, I think, so if anything, he’s aiming to get that a week earlier. So maybe 10-15% faster, … (View Post)

Trying to run through a plausible vaccination scenario: (Assuming “Protected = Vaccinated two weeks earlier) Week : Vaccines given : Vaccinated : Protected 14/12-20/12 : +300,000 : 300,000 : 0 21/12-… (View Post)

1 - Wrong, we can see the economic damage in other places. 2 - Are you still wittering on about the Imperial College model? When, ten months on, it's turned out to be pretty bloody close? About … (View Post)

Not sure. Even the proportion of cases we do pick up gives us data on what is happening and where. Doing that would effectively mean that we choose to blind ourselves and go for vaccine delivery inst… (View Post)