Andy_Cooke
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The latest Opinium poll has Starmer beating Johnson on thirtee
Here's a chart modified to be compatible with yours and Gupta's one-in-ten-thousand IFR theory. Looks like you're right. If you add a sharpie at the right point and erase the stuff aft… (View Post)0 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Can Johnson raise the Tories’ game above Easy mode? Can Labour
I’d say that politics is on easy mode for them, while government is on hard mode. (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New YouGov polling finds Brits more ready consider traveling o
What? I don't intend to be mean, but are you perhaps posting from an alternate timeline? The cornerstone of Gupta's argument was that the actual IFR of covid was about 1 in 10,000. At the a… (View Post)4 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New YouGov polling finds Brits more ready consider traveling o
You also have to take into account which taxes are used. (Almost) every tax reduces economic activity/growth thanks to the "tax wedge" (activity which would happen at the margins before and… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How the papers are treating Sunak’s pandemic budget
Agreed. I went for a haircut the day it became permissible, following an arguably heartless chain of reasoning. 1- Right now, the odds of coming into contact with anyone infected are very low for a o… (View Post)3
