Just imagine if they’d counted all the postal ballots first, ahead of time. We’d have had massive blue leads all over the place, and then Trump remorselessly gaining in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wiscons… (View Post)

But Ivor Cummins and Mike Yeadon assured us that when we’d got to about half the level of infections and deaths they experienced in Lombardy’s first wave, that we’d be very close to herd immunity. It… (View Post)

Okay, and away from the fun and shenanigans of the US election, I did promise to update my crude model from Monday following the ONS stats coming out. First graph: as before, red is actual UK deaths … (View Post)

So, Biden's just ahead in Georgia, after a large number of Atlanta ballots split something like 85/15 for Biden and against Trump. Remind me: where's CDC based? (View Post)

Has anyone interviewed that guy with the model that predicted a certain Trump landslide based on primary results? (View Post)