However, for the anti-Tory voters, even the split agreements amongst the MRP companies spells a bad night for the Tories. https://twitter.com/Dylan_Difford/status/1774831374706307436 "An alterna… (View Post)
That's fraught, though. I looked at some of the differences yesterday, and the MRPs from different companies have HUGE differences. Way beyond any feasible MoE. Someone on TwiX looked deeper: "A… (View Post)
That can fall down when a local party decides not to play along. Who would you consider best placed in a seat with: Previous notionals of Con 50, LD 31, Lab 16 County Council representation of Con 5,… (View Post)
MRP-wise, the difference between firms makes normal polling differences seem tiny in comparison. I suppose the model and method used makes a huge difference, which makes them a bit fraught to use (no… (View Post)
Are there any seats that the Lib Dems can target? I had thought that targeting Didcot and Wantage wasn't too presumptuous. After all, it's the 22nd closest Tory target in the country for the Lib Dems… (View Post)