2019: Opinium closest 2017: tie - Survation/Kantor closest 2015: All wrong (with published polls; non-published polls don't count for forecasting purposes); ComRes and Opinium least worst. 2010:… (View Post)

“You as a leftwinger” Bzzt. “Would want to make it easier to win...” We’re not proposing an Electoral reform; we’re illustrating how rolling up populations to a big size and allocating population-bas… (View Post)

No, we wouldn't. Counties would be an absurd comparator. In England, they range from 39,000 population, with a median population of just over 900,000 Compare with the US; states range from just … (View Post)

Johnson's political problem: conservative covid-denialism That's a small 'c'. Johnson's base is skewed old and are the most vulnerable to covid. They're also the most co… (View Post)

Yes, but having managed to get Covid under control at the moment proves that there’s no need to have Covid under control. I think that’s the rationale. (View Post)