Only about half of those vaccinated have had the vaccine long enough (21 days) for protection to ramp up, so it should be c. 1/12th and would reach 1/6th in three weeks from now. Although I’d expect … (View Post)

In addition, the benefits of experimenting with UBI in limited circumstances or areas means that everyones assumptions (whether pro or anti) could be tested in real-world scenarios. (View Post)

It's true that while eroding R by about 20% below what it would be wouldn't help much at an R of 4 (down to 3.2; hardly slows it) or even 2 (down to 1.6) - when restrictions push it somewhe… (View Post)

The Mail (and others) do seem to be glossing over an important fact: VACCINES DON'T WORK UNTIL THEY'RE GIVEN And even then, you need to wait three weeks or so. We have vaccines. We're … (View Post)

Personally, I don't think that every season needs to be of exactly equal length. Spring and Autumn always feel more like shorter transitional seasons to me. 4,2,4,2 might work out just as well. … (View Post)