"Since the over-80s are the most vulnerable, it will not take long before the mortality statistics – if not cases and hospitalisations – start coming down." This ties in to a discussion I s… (View Post)

That latter fact on the economic damage without restrictions has been pointed out to him many times, but just does not compute, so is ignored. Sometimes with a faint cry of “Sweden, Sweden.” The new … (View Post)

It’s not to prevent this strain spreading to the rest of the country. It already has (and well beyond). It’s a reaction to the combination of already high infection levels, dangerously high speed of … (View Post)

I wonder when "Most of the deaths are elderly" and "younger people are less affected" mutated into "It's only the old and frail who are affected" and "youngste… (View Post)

I was under the impression that the estimate was an increase in R0. That is, from 3 to 3.4-3.9. If the spring lockdown reduced R from 3 to 0.8, then it reduced it by a factor of 3.75. That equates to… (View Post)