I've had a look and compared to the meta-studies on calculating IFR for the same age, and it seems to assume somewhere between a 1-in-50 and 1-in-48 chance of infection (and multiplies this by t… (View Post)

Nope - the attack rate depends on the level needed for herd immunity for the most infectious diseases. It'd be however many are needed to get R below 1. I've also noticed that the qcovid ca… (View Post)

Are we talking about Hartlepool again? (View Post)

Boris and Co could easily reason that the EU would have to buckle within days if Pfizer production was to be stopped, whilst we’d be able to continue at a slower rate with domestic production of AZ a… (View Post)

Yeah - the contrarian/Toby Young/Mike Yeadon voices act to toxify a position that needs to be held by some. I'm very much against the "lock down forever in case of one extra death" sta… (View Post)