Thus the "1 - Possibly squashing prevalence down towards zero covid by bazooka-ing the R rate" above. I'm very much hoping that prevalence craters (is bazooka-ed) as per what you'… (View Post)

Sorry; rushed that. Reduction of 60% in infections, 80% in hospitalisations, and 85% in mortality after 3-5 weeks of a single dose of either Pfizer or AZ. https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/gov… (View Post)

Yup. But we're rapidly travelling towards a different solution of the equation. If, by the end of April, 15 million have been double dosed, the number in that latter 300,000-600,000 will certain… (View Post)

More made-up crap shared breathlessly by the credulous and ignorant. The risks of hospitalisation and long covid especially are far far higher than of a lightning strike. And, for information for tho… (View Post)

I'm as frustrated as anyone, but the logic that right now, with current restrictions, we have negative excess deaths means that we can get rid of all restrictions right now doesn't hold up.… (View Post)