I think the fact that we started out with measures optimised against influenza rather than coronavirus also helped. (View Post)

Which is still down from the historical hospitalisation rate of Alpha. Essentially, vaccines have pushed it down quite a bit, the mutation may have increased it a bit, but still below the historical … (View Post)

Having read through, the CFR for Alpha is over the entire period since October (ie including the majority of the time prior to lots of people being vaccinated), so isn’t a decent comparator. CFR has … (View Post)

Let’s wait and see what the actual effect is on admissions over the next two or three weeks before anyone panics. The virus’s mutations are trying to run up a down escalator in the face of the vaccin… (View Post)

Reminds me of a lecturer at Uni, who, according to undergraduate rumour, once had so many variables he needed to resort to Gothic runes. (View Post)