Looking at the detailed data, and at seats within 5% (to snatch a figure from the air), if (and it's a honking big "if") the voters in each constituency hit upon the right tactical choice a… (View Post)
Of the 155 Tory seats, 61 have Tory majorities of under 5% with them mainly in the mid-thirties. Aldershot is held on a 31/30 Con/Lab projection. Aylesbury very similar. If there is tactical voting i… (View Post)
Wa-hey, Didcot and Wantage go Lib Dem again, with Labour third. :) Con 27, Lab 23, LD 35. What was I saying about differences between companies? (View Post)
However, for the anti-Tory voters, even the split agreements amongst the MRP companies spells a bad night for the Tories. https://twitter.com/Dylan_Difford/status/1774831374706307436 "An alterna… (View Post)
That's fraught, though. I looked at some of the differences yesterday, and the MRPs from different companies have HUGE differences. Way beyond any feasible MoE. Someone on TwiX looked deeper: "A… (View Post)