The Oxford/Azn vaccine narrative is actually managing to change. The "... got to 90% efficacy through serendipity/accident" narrative has traction because it's the sort of story that a… (View Post)

On Heneghan, just before the start of Lockdown 2: "I could accept the idea of another lockdown if a vaccine was just around the corner," said Prof Heneghan. (https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/heal… (View Post)

In the absence of a reply (to be fair, I haven't given him long), I'll run some numbers. Nothing clever, just arithmetic. The default hypothesis would be "Those particular people just … (View Post)

P.S. this isn't me going sarcastic or dismissive - I always like to run the numbers and this is a proof by reductio ad absurdum. The reason it may come across as sarcastic is that the outcome (t… (View Post)

Out of curiosity, what do you think killed the 15,000-odd people who have died since the start of July within 28 days of a positive result? (View Post)