Andy_Cooke
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Re: With just over a month to go punters still confident that there’ll be a UK-EU deal – politicalbettin
All the information seems to be pointing to the original Tier assessments erring far too far on the light side. I suppose, logically, if they hadn't got those wrong, we'd never have had to … (View Post)1 -
Re: I’ve just laid Trump at an 8% chance on Betfair – politicalbetting.com
0.1% IFR? 57,000 deaths to date. That IFR implies 57 million of us infected. That’s 85% of us. Way past the point of herd immunity. Which means that it all went away (checks the older data) - in July… (View Post)1 -
Re: I’ve just laid Trump at an 8% chance on Betfair – politicalbetting.com
Exactly. And half of all those hospitalised as critically ill are younger than 60. As a rule of thumb, someone only has to lie if they know their case is weak. (View Post)3 -
Re: I’ve just laid Trump at an 8% chance on Betfair – politicalbetting.com
And the overwhelming weight of scientists is against the “surrender to the virus” route. And talking about “discredited”, Gupta’s theories certainly have been. For your route, as around a tenth of us… (View Post)3 -
Re: I’ve just laid Trump at an 8% chance on Betfair – politicalbetting.com
Well, the graphs didn't look remotely questionable this time. As we said the other day - there's plenty of force in readouts of what has in fact happened without needing projections. (View Post)2
