Although with acquired immunity, I reckon 60% would have immunity when we get to the under 50s and nearly 70% when we hit the under 40s. I think the extra couple of weeks to get that far would be wor… (View Post)

The shift is really below 40. There are as many 40-49 males alone as all males and female under 40. 8% (all under 40s) has 3 and a half doublings before overwhelming ICUs on their own. 20% (all under… (View Post)

I did notice that there was a disjoint between the ages in hospital and the ages in ICU and wondered if there was something like that going on. It would significantly increase the death rate of the e… (View Post)

I personally think that the data presentation there by the ONS is atrocious. The infections chart is by percentage infected. The hospitalisations chart is a completely different set of age ranges and… (View Post)

Are you sure? I mean, we know that the evidence that it does reduce spread is yet to be clearly established (because it couldn't be established in the trials), but there is considerable theoreti… (View Post)