Interestingly, the view of the EU and its posturing on this side of the Channel isn't anger. It's contempt. From a hell of a lot of Remainers as well. It's also quite funny how the EU … (View Post)

With the discussion on the last thread, I'm wondering if we're going to reach a bit of a plateau - or at least shallow out a bit. Limits of one dose One dose of vaccine is strong protection… (View Post)

One other element is that we can analyse the effectiveness of each of the NPIs. There's been quite a lot done on this, but for some reason, Governments have been slow to take it on board. In add… (View Post)

It's one reason that the response was wrong early on; they kept trying to apply the methods for a putative flu pandemic (with far lower R and no presymptomatic spread phase). (which is one thing… (View Post)

It's temptingly straightforward, but I have a sneaking suspicion that the dispersion number, k, makes it more complicated - but also very possibly better for us. The spread of covid isn't e… (View Post)