The balance of the studies I found some time ago suggested around a 20%-25% reduction in transmission overall. Not a silver bullet by any means, but when you're this close to R=1, damn well worth a s… (View Post)

By the way, just had my first experience with home PCR tests, and my conclusion is that Test and Trace can't find their arse with both hands. Four kits ordered in the end to get one that was complete… (View Post)

We also need to boost capacity in the NHS. If we have 100,000 general and acute beds in England, and normally run between 90-95% and typically saturate every winter anyway, then adding a need for a f… (View Post)

On the comments that a minor improvement in transmission reduction won't make much difference. If we're on an R of 1.1 and a minor change could get us down to 0.9 (eg masks, encouraged wfh), then wha… (View Post)

I'm looking squarely at the media, who love the most extreme and scary stuff. I notice they've ignored all the projections that came out since that one - all of which were pointing low. And they igno… (View Post)