P.S. The thing that probably spooked the politicians was the scientists and modellers explaining that by the time you could tell which trajectory you were on from the cases and admissions numbers, it… (View Post)

Plus we have that South Africa seem to be topping out on cases even earlier, which might be that Omicron burns through the susceptible really fast and can't get much further, for whatever reason. If … (View Post)

Screw it, Before I stomp off in a huff, I may as well drop in what I did see when I actually read the papers. We know, from what was said, that SAGE and SPI-M-O were asked, basically: "If things… (View Post)

Always relentlessly and wrongly pessimistic? Well, if you only take the most pessimistic ones in isolation, have them misrepresented so that the central projection is called "the optimistic scen… (View Post)

If it helps, I've gone and looked. Since WWII, a quick tot-up seems to be 192 defences, 74 losses. Splitting that down to whether the Government stayed in at the following election or was replaced by… (View Post)