He's in danger of losing his seat for the first time in his career. Majority is only 10% in a general area which is swinging to the Tories, like adjacent NE Derbyshire. (View Post)

If anyone's interested I've also done swing bellwether spreadsheets for 1997 to 2005 and 1983 to 1992. (View Post)

Interesting re Cannock Chase and Bradford West. I think this is the only totally original idea I've ever come up with: the idea of swing bellwethers. Actually it might be helpful to highlight the sea… (View Post)

The only downside to having an election this year is that we won't be able to look forward to one next year. (View Post)

https://twitter.com/JimNorton/status/1188638871229063168 (View Post)