Yougovs are going to swamp the polling narrative, really tedious. (View Post)

Probably not the best seat to extrapolate from nationally, but that's about what you'd expect from a small Con HoC majority. (View Post)

Tweaked my model some, and it's saying SNP majority in the HoC. Think I might have broken something ..... (View Post)

So does the spider that just crawled through my air vent. Not a high bar. (View Post)

Net diff of 62 is off the scale. Regression from1979 onwards results suggests an election result of 20%, which is more than a bit silly. The satisfaction numbers are a bit more within normal bounds t… (View Post)