It was a prospective study, so it seems the latter. I haven't read the trial registration, though, and I don't know whether those already feeling longer-term effects were more motivated to … (View Post)

I don't think you have much to worry about with side effects. The earlier phase trial of the Pfizer vaccine showed very few side effects and none of them major. The reason they picked the vaccin… (View Post)

Certainly. I think specificity is closer to 99.5%, but sensitivity might be lower than 70%, depending on how many virus particles you have in the sample. (Manufacturers' claims of accuracy have … (View Post)

Fear of being wrong. Emotional sunk cost. Tribal loyalty. Fear of captivity (lockdown). Fear of economic costs. Desire to appear knowledgeable and participate with the people who actually are knowled… (View Post)

I've got it! It must be due to increasing rates of false negatives! When you think about it, it makes perfect sense: the opposite of what Toby Young believes must be true! --AS (View Post)