Look, I understand your point, but how would he do that? There is no earthly chance of getting a grant to refactor old code. It's not like his advice is an official position that comes with research … (View Post)

Well there are other models. They were considered. They came to similar conclusions. See interviews with John Edmunds. --AS (View Post)

His private behaviour aside (which does indeed merit criticism), what has Ferguson actually done wrong? Haven't his models been moderately accurate, so far? Was there an error in his science? I did r… (View Post)

I don't know about cholera, but in the case of Spanish Flu isn't it just because it isn't that infectious? I recall flu has an R0 of around 1.5-1.8, so 30-40% of the population gets to herd immunity.… (View Post)

You are correct. Academics can say almost any foolish thing they want. One thing I've realized from this crisis is that academics should be given more advice on when to keep their mouths shut, and th… (View Post)