Ah, risk segmentation. The siren song of the magical solution. How does it work? Who staffs the care homes? It's not as if it's easy to get enough staff for them anyway, but what if they cannot now u… (View Post)

Sigh. Someone discovered Bayes' Theorem and thinks that none of the scientists advising the government understand it. If nothing else, trust the ONS survey. --AS (View Post)

I don't disagree with you, but I feel I should point out that the NEJM article isn't research. It's a "perspective" piece (more like an opinion piece) and it is quite careful to say "i… (View Post)

I think you're being pessimistic here. The Oxford trial was stopped only for a week, and it's important to understand that this only means that they stopped dosing -- the already-dosed participants w… (View Post)

Oh, honestly... you should change your name to PostHocErgoProperHoc. --AS (View Post)