AlwaysSinging

That's not quite correct - it would not tend to RA unless the population *of infected people* became, or tended, to population A. And that's what happens if there is differential mixing: most cases e… (View Post)

Yes, your hypothesis could well be correct, it's certainly plausible and I think it fits with the data. One thing I want to stress, though, is that we really are working in a world of very incomplete… (View Post)

Max, I wanted to reply to this even though it was a little while ago, because it's a misconception. Imagine that society consists of two parts: a population who mix more amongst themselves (e.g. youn… (View Post)

Yes, I have come to much the same conclusions. The big question is to what extent vaccination will suppress transmission and hence R: this will be fairly clear with hindsight, but very difficult to d… (View Post)

Look, I've seen that table, but you have to understand that it's a bit misleading. Although tens of thousands received vaccines in the trial, most weren't exposed to COVID. The table needs to compare… (View Post)