I think one thing to bear in mind is that most viruses are not as infectious as SARS-CoV-2 (depending on how you define "most"). That's true of coronaviruses like original SARS* and MERS, a… (View Post)

Wonderful. I was thinking of asking, but didn't want to pry. Glad to hear that it's resolved. --AS (View Post)

Likely both, but I don't think anyone really knows the balance between the two effects. It can't be behaviour alone (else there would be a lot more of them) and it could conceivably be mostly biologi… (View Post)

Yes, I agree with this. Most SEIR models are differential equations, which treat populations as infinitely divisible. In such a model the superspreaders are always connected, albeit lightly. Better, … (View Post)

Bear in mind that "100% effective" against serious disease comes from there being 5 serious cases, all in the placebo arm. It's obviously going to be lower than 100%, and could be considera… (View Post)