Sunak doing the talking-over-women thing again. Ugh. (View Post)

I think the strongest case for why "it can't be as bad as all that" for the Tories is simply that, being in uncharted territory, we've stretched our models beyond their useful limits. But t… (View Post)

It's based on the biggest survey of the campaign so far. I mean, yes, it goes against our expectations from previous elections - but unless you can point to a flaw in their methodology, it would be u… (View Post)

So they've made some sort of manual adjustment to make it look less one-sided? Really bad news for the Tories, either way. Edited to add: oh, no, it's the probabilistic thing as explained in other po… (View Post)

That's one of the things that annoy me most about tasting menus - amuse-bouches between every other course, some of which are as substantial as the main dishes. It's so easy to get out of sync, espec… (View Post)