AlsoLei

A slightly misleading image, as it was produced at 1937 on Monday, just after a clutch of polls had been released from the least Labour-friendly pollsters all showing a 15 pp lead. LOESS smoothing is… (View Post)

Honestly, I'm in my 30s and get jetlagged for a few days even when the clocks change twice a year. East coast US - UK takes me a week to fully recover from, and west coast takes me two. I get it, the… (View Post)

The Corbyn campaign in Islington North is claiming 1000 involved at the weekends - so, yes, 600 for GOTV during the week is huge! (the question is, of course, whether it'll actually do much to help..… (View Post)

This is why this election so far has seemed like such a huge outlier. During my first stint on PB in the late 2000s, the received wisdom was that whilst proportional swing often 'felt' like it should… (View Post)

Neither side are acting like it's in the bag, that's for sure! As far as I can see, both sides are swarming the place today - Corbyn's crowd were busily leafleting outside the school round the corner… (View Post)