The national polls have tightened over that time period. The 538 model is driven mostly by state polls. I think state polls have many problems. It is all an interesting conundrum. (View Post)

I remember when some chancer on here was talking about the number of death in the US being one-tenth the peak and that clearly Covid was over. Whatever happened to him? (View Post)

You can see that it is a wrap around from last year right? We have last years week 40 on the graph at the left. (View Post)

Gupta's predictions (that we've all secretly had it) has been proven comprehensively wrong. (View Post)

Also popular at the time was "Covid Goes away in 70 days no matter what it is just a mathematical fact" by an Israel engineering professor. To get this conclusion he fitted a *checks notes*… (View Post)