This is music to my book. In 2016 you and your wife were the 1-stop vox pop that indicated Trump would win. You are now the perfect anecdote in 2020 that he will lose biggly. (View Post)

I think that the whole Coronavirus situation shows that people are really, really bad at using and interpreting charts with lagged data on them. People want a simple daily update. A single figure to … (View Post)

https://youtu.be/BrkD9mfvrB8 Let the confirmation hearings begin! (View Post)

NO, it's not miniscule. The point of the Rust Belt polling failure in 2016 was that you had similar demographics across the rust belt so the same demographic mis-weighting is repeated across the… (View Post)

WTAF. Trump endorsed Moore. https://www.npr.org/2017/12/04/568274917/removing-any-qualifications-trump-endorses-roy-moore?t=1602502624848 https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/04/us/politics/roy-moore-dona… (View Post)