Alistair
-
Re: The polling gets tighter and tighter in Texas yet on Betfair Biden is still a 27% chance – political
The two simultaneous thoughts. 1) Trump is wildly popular with massive rallies showing his massive popularity 2) Trump supporters do not want to say they support Trump. (View Post)3 -
Re: The polling gets tighter and tighter in Texas yet on Betfair Biden is still a 27% chance – political
That is where I am at as well. Although given my love of dice I'd round it up to 16.6...% to make it equal to the toss of a 6 sided die. (View Post)3 -
Re: If this election follows previous ones then 10m more women will vote than men – politicalbetting.com
Welcome to Political Betting Dot Com. (View Post)2 -
Re: If this election follows previous ones then 10m more women will vote than men – politicalbetting.com
I'd love to tell you what I thought about their crosstabs but my eyes have literally melted from my brain trying to read them. https://www.americanactionforum.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Ariz… (View Post)2 -
Re: If this election follows previous ones then 10m more women will vote than men – politicalbetting.com
No, the nightmare scenario isn't Biden losing with a 4 point national lead - that's completely run of the mill. The Nightmare Scenario is Biden losing with a 10 point national lead. (View Post)1