People found it difficult to believe they would lose seats in 2010. And most missed their LD seat bets by over estimating in 2015. (View Post)

A reminder of the danger of MRP without error bars https://twitter.com/twitonatrain/status/1191352370917265408?s=19 (View Post)

Incidentally with the Ipsos Mori Scotland poll the main thing they are trying to deal with is the historical overstatement of the SNP. (View Post)

He called someone a liar on national TV. If he didn't want to be fact checked and proven to be an idiot he should have kept his trap shut. (View Post)

Being factually incorrect is not 'a view' 'A view' would be "despite being in the top 5% of earners I feel Labour's tax policies would hit me to the extent it would make… (View Post)