I feel Chernobyl was the better predictor. https://twitter.com/deltaplan/status/1009478705352232961 (View Post)

Look, I bet on Trump to win Florida. Coud punters please pay attention to the Emerrson poll and move the market accordingly so I can have all my state bets Green please. (View Post)

FFS Scottish school children had an order of magnitude increase in testing done of them and saw no increase in absolute case numbers. There is no "false positive" drive to the numbers. If t… (View Post)

You've had the mathematics of sample size vs population size explained to you multiple times. A 1000 person poll of 253768092 people has a lower margin of error than a 100 person poll of 1000 pe… (View Post)

I am shocked, shocked that the person who thought the GOP would retain their house majority in 2018 thinks Trump will win this November. You aren't on the ground. And you tipped John James to wi… (View Post)