I am impressed that Trafalgar manages to find the pro-Trump 18-24 sample in every single one of their polls. Every single one that they have published cross breaks for the 18-24 sample is prod Trump.… (View Post)

No, it is the opposite way around. The sample does not have enough people who voted early. The poll is basically assuming that everyone left in the state who has not yet voted is going to vote. (View Post)

Corre ring for sample dates get you to almost exactly the entire voting roll at 3.51 million. So still way beyond the bounds of credibility (View Post)

Ah, balls, I didn't. (View Post)

The insane 17 point Wisconsin poll 1,451,462 have already voted 37% in the poll say they have voted That means the Likely Voter screen says a total turnout of 4 million people Wisconsin only has 3,58… (View Post)