Correct but 0.08% is not the actual false positive rate. It is the absolute ceiling on false positives. (View Post)

That false positive rate is not 0.5%. The ONS estimate puts the absolute upper bound of false positives to be 0.08% That is assuming every single positive from its test sample of ~200k were positive.… (View Post)

Of actual interest in the Comres scotland polling is the IndyRef recall problem that Scottish pollsters have. They systemically have samples either two low or two high depending o the company, and no… (View Post)

Remeber the rhyme If Naomi be Klein the opinions be fine, if Naomi be Wolf opinions are Ooooof Nicked from twitter obviously. (View Post)

He got completely the wrong poll commissioner https://twitter.com/scotfax/status/1361604515464626178?s=19 He's compared apples to oranges and claimed the comparison is still valid because they a… (View Post)