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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boris admitted to hospital
Fingers crossed Boris recovers soon. Since all is a bit miserable here, some better news: numbers of new cases / fatalities (in hospitals) in both Spain and France are declining extremely fast. It's … (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Starmer needs a net gain of 124 seats at the next GE to win a
Yes, actually. I'm quite optimistic that we can do this next time - especially if the consequence is more lockdown! Technologically, solutions are being developed (see this thread: https://twitter.co… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Starmer needs a net gain of 124 seats at the next GE to win a
Massive testing (100K per day) and rapid contact tracing (manual and using Apps) can not only reduce the number of new cases but also, as per South Korea, prevent the situation getting out of control… (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On Betfair Starmer becomes the 26% favourite to be next PM
These plots, as stated yesterday, depend entirely on the baseline. It thus always has to be put in that context and not over-interpreted (as the tweet does!!). (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour’s new leader now has 2-3 months to prepare. How does he
Apologies for the long comment, but I think there are some reasons to be hopeful at present. There are some interesting tweets from top quality epidemiologists this morning talking about an Infection… (View Post)2