That is good news. Deaths will lag, but at least a hint the ICUs may be coping. Suggests the next 6 days here (and especially this weekend) will be the hardest (View Post)

If it helps (perhaps not, in which case ignore this!), most of western Europe should be on the downswing in two weeks (just after Easter). It is not good but it will not last for ever and, compared t… (View Post)

Pretty much the same I think - certainly France is doing this and I think @kamski earlier said this was also what was going on in Germany. (View Post)

All positive then. But the strain on ICUs must be immense - if I read the table below correctly, there are >5000 people there at present? (View Post)

Fortunately, a more brutal second wave seems unlikely. The virus seems to mutate slowly so no reason to expect it to be fundamentally nastier. In principle we could adapt vaccines to these changes - … (View Post)