The Spanish trend is going in the right direction. Number of new cases is stabilising and, as the health minister has stated, new cases into the ICU are also slowing. There's no reason to think it wo… (View Post)

Thanks! This is a really useful plot and gives a good indication for how the epidemic is proceeding in different countries. (View Post)

Come on!! We can see that Italy (two weeks or so ahead) is now over the worst in terms of new cases and even Spain said the number of people being admitted to ICUs was falling. What is thus clear (an… (View Post)

Agreed on deaths. In terms of new cases that should stabilise over the weekend / early next week. But number of fatalities will not decline until a week to 10 days after that unfortunately. (View Post)

To be fair, I don't think, amongst the general population, it is costing lives. People (even in countries testing a lot, like Germany) are presumably only tested when they display symptoms and here s… (View Post)