148grss
148grss
That 6 Tory seat projection I mentioned:
And a rosier one, Tories at 16:
These are based of the polls putting the Tories at 19% and 21%, respectively
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Re: When assumptions go wrong – politicalbetting.com
If you have a citation I'd be really interested in reading that. And I don't think we can consider farmers as different to small business owners - they are a class of people who are asset r… (View Post)1 -
Re: When assumptions go wrong – politicalbetting.com
The thing people forget about prejudice and race is that, historically speaking, skin colour / race was not always the category for prejudicial thought. In the classical period, for example, there wa… (View Post)4 -
Re: When assumptions go wrong – politicalbetting.com
I know shy Tories are historically a thing - but I also didn't see why people assumed the DKs were going to "come home" when it is so clear even typical Tories are upset with the party… (View Post)1 -
Re: When assumptions go wrong – politicalbetting.com
People who are undecided do not watch debates - it's mostly political nerds like us. I would assume the vast majority of that 43% who are still DK are actually not going to vote. (View Post)1 -
Re: When assumptions go wrong – politicalbetting.com
I mean, I understand Shy Tories - I just think people assume more DKs are Shy Tories than actually are. (View Post)2