148grss
148grss
That 6 Tory seat projection I mentioned:
And a rosier one, Tories at 16:
These are based of the polls putting the Tories at 19% and 21%, respectively
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Re: Why tax cuts might not be a panacea for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
If we prioritise the interests of the rich, it still won't help the average person. Yes, globalisation has increased in the last half century, but all the mechanisms to tax people and corporations st… (View Post)1 -
Re: Why tax cuts might not be a panacea for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
Someone earning £100k is in the top 5% of earners in the UK. This is where, I fear, the level of income on this forum being wildly out of sync with the vast majority of people leads to a huge bias ag… (View Post)3 -
Re: How many Tory by-election losses will revert back at GE2024? – politicalbetting.com
Maybe this is a sign of me being a youngster, but my "Portillo moment" was Ed Balls in 2015. Although Nick Clegg losing his seat in 2017 was also funny. (View Post)1 -
Re: How many Tory by-election losses will revert back at GE2024? – politicalbetting.com
Philosophy of time aside; what evidence is there that "historic precedent" is a better predictor than current polling? To me the evidence suggests if you want historic precedent look at the… (View Post)2 -
Re: QUESTIONS THE BUSINESS SELECT COMMITTEE SHOULD BE ASKING – politicalbetting.com
I listened to some of it - I think it's likely going to be 9-0, maybe 8-1 with a Sotomayor dissent. I think SCOTUS will argue that an individual state cannot just decide that someone is an insurrecti… (View Post)1