148grss
148grss
That 6 Tory seat projection I mentioned:
And a rosier one, Tories at 16:
These are based of the polls putting the Tories at 19% and 21%, respectively
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Re: A LAB majority now a 32% betting chance – politicalbetting.com
But campaigns always have a squeeze effect, and Tory voters are more likely to abstain than vote switch, from what I understand. But, who knows - events, dear boy, events... (View Post)1 -
Re: A LAB majority now a 32% betting chance – politicalbetting.com
I mean, this is ridiculous. If these MPs are refusing to go to conference, yet are allowing this government to stand, they are just petty self serving *****. If they think things are so bad they shou… (View Post)1 -
Re: It’s a 41% betting chance that Truss won’t survive 2023 – politicalbetting.com
1) Constitutionally, I would argue, in these situations a GE is more typical than just swapping PM. It becomes even murkier considering the modern need for internal party democracy disempowering MPs … (View Post)1 -
Re: It’s a 41% betting chance that Truss won’t survive 2023 – politicalbetting.com
Yeah, there is a legitimacy crisis here, too. Truss came in and has had, arguably, the worst first month as PM and it is mostly self inflicted. Even if the Tories got shot of her a) the Tory membersh… (View Post)1 -
Re: It’s a 41% betting chance that Truss won’t survive 2023 – politicalbetting.com
I would say what currently brought us here is people on the right using the language of the progressive left to gotcha left wing people in bad faith for saying bad / clumsy things. I also think that … (View Post)4