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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s local by-elections saw
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s local by-elections saw
Moriah (Lab defence) on Caerphilly
Result of council at last election (2012) : Labour 50, Plaid Cymru 20, Independents 3 (Labour majority of 27)
Result of ward at last election (2012) :
0
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I'm struggling to believe this football scare story. It's almost as if nobody had realised that the reason that the work permit ruled have recently been tightened is that there are so many EU nationals in the league. [*] And that if EU nationals could be treated as foreign rather than effectively British, the work permit rules could be loosened, thus allowing lesser EU nationals to be replaced by better non-EU nationals.
[*] This in turn is because UK talent attracts a premium. I've always assumed this is because there's a lower risk of homesickness.
By the way it was just a couple of days ago that I rang the warning bell on Trump again about the situation in Wisconsin, once again I was right and the odds in the markets changed.
Last time I rang the warning bell about Trump was after Super Tuesday about Cruz overperforming and the schedule being favorable to Cruz until March 8th, I was right again and the odds in the markets changed.
Not to mention my accurate predictions about Rubio, Bush, Fiorina, Walker, Christie ect ect.
So my predictive record on the GOP race is still intact (Ben Carson being the exception, but he did shine briefly in October and November).
What does the future hold though?
Well I will make another prediction that if all things stay the same, Trump's odds are going to bounce back in the markets if he wins N.Y. by as much as the polls say.
20 days till N.Y votes is a long time though.
The only interesting race tonight is Clacton East, who knows who will win, though odds are it would be UKIP.
Goodnight.
The below was posted last thread.
When discussing the referendum on twitter, David Cameron, Jeremy Corbyn and Nigel Farage come out as the politicians most referred to, however only 1% of these tweets were of a positive tone – a breakdown of whether the tweets were positive or negative can be seen below:
David Cameron: Positive 1%, Neutral 57%, Negative 42%
Jeremy Corbyn: Positive 1%, Neutral 43%, Negative 55%
Nigel Farage: Positive 1%, Neutral 82%, Negative 17%
Showing Farage most popular (least unpopular) leader on twitter.
I give up, the US Media is as ludicrous as that photo of that guy and the plane hijacker.
What I particularly loved about Not the Nine O'Clock News is that (not only was the BBC brave enough to commission and support it) but it took the piss out of everyone: marxists, trade unions, Conservatives, the established church, hippies, nosy TV presenters, pub culture, advertisers, bigotry of some police constables, darts championships, popular game shows and pop and sports stars.
It's just totally and utterly brilliant, purely British wit and satire, with every sketch original and no hint of identity politics or political bias (or correctness) creeping in. At all.
What I wouldn't give for a similar comedy now...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Ynt9JZWFkk&ebc=ANyPxKoucLKyp2L19ORNI-6bItVXVX1NAMFrlaWgULL7kIp6g69mPWmF0ob4S8h8uGcWUxrtXd4SOxgN8co2oJm_0gTqBRXnMA
The fact they could play a montage of the best bits of 80's comedies in the afternoon, with no images just audio, and them still very really funny. Nothing can do match all those criteria.
Nothing from Leave. I wonder if they're bothering at all to target London/SE. I'm in a solidly wealthy home county area, but one that votes over 60%+ Conservative. Always.
Perhaps they see the Midlands as the crucial swing region?
Too many favourite sketches to list.
Only 16% (sixteen) percent of women under 35 will definitely vote.
Still sticking by your 55:45 prediction to Remain?
Speaking of fantastic comedy, The Adventures of Sir Edric is in the pipeline of publication. Not up yet on Amazon (there was a small technical issue delay), but it should be a matter of hours, at most. I'm hoping it'll be up shortly [there's no defined time limit so I can't be more specific, unfortunately].
Scotland votes Leave
England votes Leave
(Eng+Wal+NI) votes Remain
Leave wins.
Nat implosion.
(Yes, I know it ain't gonna happen.)
Plus unicorn insurance.
I mean, it'll make the aftermath of GE2015 look like a picnic.
It'll be so much fun.
Some things age better than others "Whatever happened to the Likely Lads?" remains as funny as ever, "The Goodies" is painful as is "Some Mothers do 'ave 'em". I used to find it unmissable as a kid.
When you only have 3-4 channels it is also certainly easier to get a massive following.
His Car Share was very well observed.
At the cruder end of comedy, I am rather fond of "Drifters". The first series of "Cuckoo" was pretty good too.
In comparison, Only Fools and Horses is 64 regular episodes, plus a load of specials.
He's certainly not for everyone but his comedy breathtakingly pipping and dangerous. The type of laugher where you wonder if you should be laughing.
If you don't like the concept of his stage persona of "failing, bitter standup comedian" then it will fall flat. But if you buy into him make believe world there is none better
And of course tommorow we have JackW's ARSE4EU to look forward to. I recall that previous ARSE showings have shown very little volatility. Probably correctly as the current arguments on both sides are pretty feeble. Remain do well on my Facebook feed, but how much others see of that I do not know.
http://infacts.org/maggies-1975-pro-europe-case-remains-strong-today/
Excellent targetting of ads via Facebook.
Oh.
Like Fawlty Towers its best to leave them wanting more.
Odd: if you want to unilaterally get rid of Trident submarines, you're soft on security. If you want to get rid of what they're made of...
Mr. 565, not sure it's intellectually superior to be in favour of possessing the raw material for Trident submarines whilst proposing to not have any.
Also, steel can be bought.
Mr. 565, if we're at war with every steel-producing country in the world that would be problematic.
Living in the Midlands I quite like industrial plant,
In all seriousness, as recently as 30 years ago, most politicians in all parties would've agreed that atleast SOME steel-producing capacity is essential for any economy to be self-sufficient.
Richmond Central (Richmondshire) result:
RIND: 35.0% (+35.0)
LDEM: 30.4% (-18.3)
CON: 23.1% (-6.6)
GRN: 11.4% (-10.1)
Labour HOLD Moriah (Caerphilly).
It's home turf for Corbyn to talk about nationalisation, but it'll also reinforce the stereotype (although, at this stage, I think this is a win for Corbyn, as he can't lose much more support but those directly affected will likely be grateful to the benevolence of the chairman).
Oh the laughs!!
You'd think he would have had enough of enquiries after Stafford....
Some people have short memories...
I've noticed a big uptick in the number of London Vote Leave events. We might even have canvassing in my borough...
Different colour to the HMRC envelopes - Dad was an accountant and we got about 5 of these a day, so I should know....
SeanT likes to tell us how UK and US is stuff against the massive might of the Chinese economy...I think the French are going to get a horrible shock....
I don't know the last time I only worked 35hrs in a week...
Ind 466
Con 117
http://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/6982/elections-march-31st?page=1&scrollTo=342510