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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Lord Ashcroft polling is back with a 20k sample EURef surve

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  • MP_SE said:

    Pulpstar said:

    A Telford by-election would be interesting.

    Telford, Tooting, Richmond Park all next year please !

    As a one-time resident of Telford, I can safely say that it would be the only interesting thing to happen there.
    It is an incredibly depressing place. I have to have a shower after spending any amount of time there.
    I lived there from when I was 12 until I left for Uni.
    Never looked back.

  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,810

    MP_SE said:

    Pulpstar said:

    A Telford by-election would be interesting.

    Telford, Tooting, Richmond Park all next year please !

    As a one-time resident of Telford, I can safely say that it would be the only interesting thing to happen there.
    It is an incredibly depressing place. I have to have a shower after spending any amount of time there.
    Its like Milton Keynes without any of the positives ;-)
    Surely better to be named after an engineer than an economist?
  • Dair said:

    Barnesian said:

    Do we have a regional breakdown:? Is there a marked difference of opinion between Scotland/England/Wales/NIreland?

    It's a bit of a maze but as far as I can see Scotland 44% largely Remain, 39% largely Out & 14% undecided. Not sure where the remaining 3% went.

    Pages 24 & 25 have the regional breakdowns.

    http://tinyurl.com/oxkxo3u

    The sample for Scotland is 1690 - a decent size.

    For Scotland, the weighted result is 46% LEAVE, 54% REMAIN.

    For the UK, the weighted result is 52% LEAVE, 48% REMAIN.

    The difference is statistically significant, but is it politically significant?
    Scotland voting Remain is a requirement of the best known trigger for the Second Referendum. It is politically significant and voters in Scotland know it.

    Don't be silly, Scotland voting 54-46 to remain in the EU would be completely insignificant compared to the definitive, conclusive, once-in-generation decision that Scotland made to stay in the Union by 55-45.
    SNP tweeting about overwhelming levels of support for remaining in the EU.
    Given these latest polls, if they keep that rhetoric then they must agree that the referendum showed overwhelming levels of support for remaining in the UK.
  • MP_SE said:

    Pulpstar said:

    A Telford by-election would be interesting.

    Telford, Tooting, Richmond Park all next year please !

    As a one-time resident of Telford, I can safely say that it would be the only interesting thing to happen there.
    It is an incredibly depressing place. I have to have a shower after spending any amount of time there.
    Its like Milton Keynes without any of the positives ;-)
    Surely better to be named after an engineer than an economist?
    Ha!
    Tenuous links with Iron Bridge / Blists Hill aside...
    There is a sign on the M54 on the way into Telford that proclaims it at "The Birthplace of Industry".
    Must have been some sort of in-joke i guess
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    kle4 said:

    Granted, I had a splitting headache and was sniffling throughout (and not from emotion), but I thought Star Wars was...pretty good. Not world class, but the look and feel were great (although contrivance to make the plot reminiscent of past glories was a bit overdone), the new leads are terrific actors with great chemistry with each other. Overall, it felt like more of a set up movie to be honest, excellent produced, loads of potential, but a lot of it will pay off later.

    That's a fairly reasonable summary but I do wonder how those of you who have put a positive spin on this will feel in a few weeks time. The decision to do a Remake killed all the dramatic and emotional beats of the movie. It might be a good set up but the new characters were so rich and well written they deserved to be in a good film.
  • IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966

    You have to remember that you are dealing with people who are making it up as they go along.

    That would be you on one of your frequent witterings about how being in a Free Trade Area with the EU would require us to apply a Freedom of Movement stipulation, without managing to quite explain how this failed to apply to Mexico or South Korea.
  • MP_SE said:

    Pulpstar said:

    A Telford by-election would be interesting.

    Telford, Tooting, Richmond Park all next year please !

    As a one-time resident of Telford, I can safely say that it would be the only interesting thing to happen there.
    It is an incredibly depressing place. I have to have a shower after spending any amount of time there.
    Its like Milton Keynes without any of the positives ;-)
    Surely better to be named after an engineer than an economist?
    It's a bit of an insult to Iron-Mad Wilkinson that the site of his bridge should be in a borough now named after his arch-rival.
  • New Thread New Thread

  • sladeslade Posts: 2,172
    dr_spyn said:

    Shirley Williams steps down, the nation yawns.

    I had to look this up.She is giving up her seat in the House of Lords which I think is a fairly recent option. Do you also give up your title?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,724
    Dair said:

    kle4 said:

    Granted, I had a splitting headache and was sniffling throughout (and not from emotion), but I thought Star Wars was...pretty good. Not world class, but the look and feel were great (although contrivance to make the plot reminiscent of past glories was a bit overdone), the new leads are terrific actors with great chemistry with each other. Overall, it felt like more of a set up movie to be honest, excellent produced, loads of potential, but a lot of it will pay off later.

    That's a fairly reasonable summary but I do wonder how those of you who have put a positive spin on this will feel in a few weeks time. The decision to do a Remake killed all the dramatic and emotional beats of the movie. It might be a good set up but the new characters were so rich and well written they deserved to be in a good film.
    I imagine I'll feel the same - I can't say my opinion on movies tends to change that much. That it could have been better won't take away the overall solidness of the film (or at the very least, lack of terribleness)

    At worst I might in the long run consider it to be like Daredevil and Jessica Jones - which I find to be brilliantly acted, brilliantly produced, with some great standout moments, but still feel a bit let down by how it all comes together, so that I cannot honestly say they are bad, or even that they are mediore because they are not, just that they didn't grab me. But perhaps not. I actually do feel like seeing it again pretty soon, which I feel indicates despite some reservations it left me with a positive feeling nevertheless.

    The Martian is still the best movie of the year.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,724
    slade said:

    dr_spyn said:

    Shirley Williams steps down, the nation yawns.

    I had to look this up.She is giving up her seat in the House of Lords which I think is a fairly recent option. Do you also give up your title?
    I believe not - Lord Ashcroft is still Lord Ashcroft despite giving up his seat.
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,172
    kle4 said:

    slade said:

    dr_spyn said:

    Shirley Williams steps down, the nation yawns.

    I had to look this up.She is giving up her seat in the House of Lords which I think is a fairly recent option. Do you also give up your title?
    I believe not - Lord Ashcroft is still Lord Ashcroft despite giving up his seat.
    According to the House of Lords website something like 30 Lords have retired in the last year - including some well know names such as Lord Chalfont and Baroness Warnock. There are also a number who are ineligible due to judicial roles and quite a few who are on leave of absence.
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