politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Four LAB defences and one LD one in tonight’s local by-elec
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Four LAB defences and one LD one in tonight’s local by-elections
Mill Hill on Blackburn with Darwen (Lab defence)
Result of council at last election (2015): Labour 47, Conservatives 14, Liberal Democrats 3 (Labour majority of 30)
Result of ward at last election (2012): Labour 967 (66%), Conservatives 264 (18%), Liberal Democrat 220 (15%)
Candidates duly nominated: Alan Dean (Lib Dem), Michael Longbottom (UKIP), Carl Nuttall (Lab), Helen Tolley (Con)
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The first post-Welfare Bill nominations meetings seem to be going fairly brutally for Burnham, and pretty well for Cooper and Corbyn.
CLP nominations
Corbyn - 82
Burnham - 75
Cooper - 71
Kendall - 12
http://ericjoyce.co.uk/2015/07/the-inexorable-laboursnp-deal/
In all seriousness, I agree with you (if I understood your reply correctly).
- Palmerston.
An eternal truth.
That would be lunacy, ensuring both a Republican loss, his loss, and a Clinton win.
Why should we take notice of any of them?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p02wr7x8/p02wr6ty
Trump – 19% (-)
Walker – 17% (18)
Bush – 12% (11)
Carson – 10% (12)
Rubio – 10% (13)
Huckabee – 8% (12)
Cruz – 4% (10)
Fiorina – 4% (-)
Paul – 4% (9)
Christie – 3% (5)
Kasich
– 3% (-)
Jindal – 1% (-)
Perry – 1% (2)
Santorum – 1% (-)
Gilmore – 0% (-)
Graham – 0% (-)
Pataki – 0% (-)
Undecided – 2% (7)
General Election Matchups
Clinton – 46%
Bush – 41%
Clinton – 47%
Carson – 39%
Clinton – 48%
Cruz – 40%
Clinton – 47%
Fiorina – 37%
Clinton – 46%
Huckabee – 40%
Clinton – 45%
Paul – 42%
Clinton – 46%
Rubio – 41%
Clinton – 50%
Trump – 37%
Clinton – 46%
Walker – 41%
Sanders- 37%
Bush 44%
Sanders 36%
Rubio 41%
Sanders 39%
Walker 40%
Sanders 47%
Trump 37%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/07/trump-still-leads-gop-field-but-descent-may-be-beginning.html#more
Not surprising, fewer than half his supporters think he's a PM.
As a matter of interest, which foreign politicians apart from Putin want the break up of the EU?
I realise you may now need to lie down.
“The RNC has not been supportive. They were always supportive when I was a contributor. I was their fair-haired boy,” the Business mogul told The Hill in a 40-minute interview from his Manhattan office at Trump Tower on Wednesday. “The RNC has been, I think, very foolish.”
Pressed on whether he would run as a third-party candidate if he fails to clinch the GOP nomination, Trump said that “so many people want me to, if I don’t WIN.”
“I’ll have to see how I’m being treated by the Republicans,” Trump said. “Absolutely, if they’re not fair, that would be a factor.”
http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/248910-exclusive-trump-threatens-third-party-run
Mr Putin is against the EU, therefore we must be pro-EU.
but also...
Mr Putin is against ISIS, therefore we must be pro-ISIS.
On the positive side, I've had some inspiration for an AV thread this weekend
The EU need not break up. It can carry on as it wishes without us as a member. Or it can stay with us as a member providing it is willing to make sensible reforms. Either way, the decision should be made for British interest, not the interest of other countries.
https://twitter.com/stephenkb?lang=en-gb
- M. H. Thatcher, The Bruges Speech (20 September, 1988)
I thought only Kippers lived in the past.
No surprise I guess but is a Corbyn win going to lead to other practical organisational issues - eg would someone like Axelrod work for Corbyn? OK, he wasn't a success in GE 2015 but the Party is going to need both money and quality people - would it be able to get them under a Corbyn leadership?
In The Times, his campaign manager has said Women ‘are not tough enough to lead Labour’
If you are trying to refer to the Referendum on Britain's continued membership of the EEC
... that was 1975!
Your arguments are both childish and deluded, if this is all you have then for the first time ever I genuinely believe that Out may win.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/andy-burnham-is-a-fake-according-to-his-former-campaign-chief-who-tells-labour-leadership-favourite-to-get-real-in-facebook-rant-10312342.html
Maggie in her own words:
[it] is ironic that just when those countries such as the Soviet Union, which have tried to run everything from the centre, are learning that success depends on dispersing power and decisions away from the centre, there are some in the [European] Community who seem to want to move in the opposite direction.
If you're a mother, LIz.
I've read the article in full, and he says those particular women arent tough enough, not "Women" in general.
There is an interesting report published by the European Commission in May this year:
"Introduction of the euro in the Member States that have not yet adopted the common currency"
http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/flash/fl_418_sum_en.pdf
Swedes think that the Euro would have negative consequences for them by a 51/35 margin.
Czechs and Poles are roughly similar. They all think that prices would go up to some degree.
Things like this won't help him close that gap.
It is essentially a continental wide open cast mine. In terms of 'economic complexity' it is ranked way below the UK. In comparison the UK's top export is cars.
The operative word really being 'continental'. It is a vast continental wide (federal) country.
Lets not pretend we can compare the UK and Australia in respect of their trade or economies.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3170686/Anyone-think-Corbyn-sexy-Unlikely-Labour-leadership-frontrunner-Jeremy-Corbyn-mothers-vote-Dumbledore-sea-dog-look.html
Yet his campaign's been utterly uninspiting to the point of tedium and he. My only thought is he was so scarred by getting hammerred as the extra Blairite in 2010 that he's running the ultimate safety first frontrunner's campaign and been trying to be all things to all men. It's not working though as the turgidness of it all has created the Corbyngasm. After saying he'd serve in a Corbyn cabinet he may have made his way from being a toss-up with Liz Kendall for my 1st pref in early June, to third now. Hopefully the current nonsense will slap him round the face with a wet fish and he'll realise that to go out and win a leadership contest you should show a bit of leadership.