The forgotten by-elections – politicalbetting.com
The forgotten by-elections – politicalbetting.com
Because of Andy Burnham there hasn’t been the attention that should be due to the two Scottish by-elections also taking place on June the 18th, which could be quite the Waterloo for the SNP (or indeed Labour or the Conservatives.)
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I'm guessing Burnham, SNP and SNP
https://www.theguardian.com/books/ng-interactive/2026/jun/06/readers-top-100-novels-of-all-time
And they came close in the equivalent (sort of) Holyrood seat.
It'll be close.
Labour have zero chance in Arbroath.
Aberdeen Deeside and North Kincardine, which overlaps heavily with Aberdeen South, was extremely close between the SNP and Conservatives at Holyrood last month, with just over 1,000 votes in it. The combined Conservative and Reform vote was over 48%.
In a two-horse Westminster by-election, with different voter motivations, oil and gas policy front and centre, and the SNP carrying the baggage of recent scandals, with potentially more to come, I think the Conservatives represent genuine value here.
Remarkable that such a big thing is being made of a resource that was virtually exhausted 12 years ago.
Will voters punish the SNP for the inconvenience of an extra trip to the polling place?
It's not the most significant of issues facing us, by some distance (which is a flaw in the arguments of most of those most vocally in favour) but the arguments in favour are pretty clearcut.
A lot of oil and gas has flowed since then.
Which seems challenging.
And what is the point of voting Reform in this by-election?
The practice is not even traditional. Traditionally UK banknotes have been plain.
We have only had historical figures on our banknotes since 1970, and Churchill has only been on there since 2016.
There is no attack on tradition, nor is there any attempt to marginalise historic figures. Rather this is an attempt to fabricate a Potemkin tradition out of whole cloth in order to have something to complain about.
It is a manufactured, attention-seeking fuss about a complete non-issue. This is peak snowflake.
Jenrick needs to find something useful to say rather than indulge in his displacement activity of making up nonsense. The Daily Mail is ... the Daily Mail.
(Edited)
In a real sense, for much of the reserves, it's use it or lose it.
12 years ago people like the Con candidate for Aberdeen South were telling everyone that Scotland couldn't be indy because North sea oil was finished. Much like they were telling people that voting No would secure EU membership for Scots, Boris Johnson could never be PM and Holyrood would become the most powerful devolved parliament in the world.
The IndyRef was only 2 years before that.
But fecking Middlemarch is still second. And To Kill A Mockingbird at number five?
I also think the list still lacks breadth. Three Austen novels, Two by Orwell. Multiple Dickens. The list would be a lot more interesting if it was limited to one book per author.
If you're not honest about the magnitude of the benefits, it casts into doubt the rest of the case.
I'm not saying they shouldn't be making the argument; for once, they are right to do so.
(Despite Ed Davey making a fuss along with Lucky and Casino.)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy03zy1lr8go
..A YouGov poll of more than 5,000 people last July suggested 34% of Lib Dems wanted nature on notes, compared with 19% wanting notable British historical figures.
It was close among Conservative and Reform supporters. Some 30% of Tories and Reform voters wanted historical figures, compared with 26% for the Conservatives and 25% for Reform favouring nature...
But, then again, I suppose you have to be a master in cognitive dissonance to be an SNP supporter for this long.
There won't be many more promising by-elections for the Tories.
And there's problems with cattle as well.
I've been to London three times in the last month and not once did I take cash with me.
One time I visited London without my wallet*.
*Technically it is a card holder.
On (this) topic when I was young banknotes had fancy designs, which showed the value, except, as fas as I recall for the £5 which was a large piece of tissuey paper with lots of writing on it. Must admit I rarely saw one If there was a banknote of greater value I never saw one.
And anyway we'll none of us use banknotes for much longer, except in 'dubious circumstances'. I suspect that before long the possession of large sums of 'cash money' will be a cause for suspicion!
Kemi also still has a reasonable 20% favourable rating in Scotland. The Aberdeen Deeside and North Kincardine Holyrood seat which largely overlaps with the Aberdeen South Westminster seat was also one of a minority of constituencies in Scotland where the Tories beat Reform and were still in the top 2 against the SNP. Indeed the Tories were just 4% behind the SNP so if they squeeze the 17% who voted Reform then they could beat the SNP and win the seat.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aberdeen_Deeside_and_North_Kincardine
Arbroath is the type of seat Labour might win back if Burnham wins the Makerfield by election and replaces Starmer as Labour leader and PM but it won't while Starmer remains PM which he still will be when the by elections are held
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/06/starbucks-south-korea-tank-day-promotion-blunder
...Hours after launching a marketing campaign called “Tank Day” for its new “Tank” coffee tumbler range on 18 May, Starbucks Korea found itself at the centre of a cultural storm that would force a billionaire chairman to apologise on national television, and see a chief executive sacked. The controversy reverberated all the way to the South Korean president’s office.
Starbucks’ Tank Series tumblers and discount campaign was designed to promote “spacious volume” for bigger coffees. But the specific date of the promotion’s launch, and its imagery and wording, reopened the painful wounds of a 46-year-old massacre in South Korea and dictatorship-era torture scandal.
Starbucks cancelled the promotion hours after it launched, and its CEO, Son Jeong-hyun, was fired that same day. But it was too late. The anger had already spread, with videos of people smashing the Starbucks mugs and tumblers circulated on social media.
Known locally as 5/18, the 18th of May is the anniversary of a 1980 massacre in Gwangju. Over 10 violent days, paratroopers crushed pro-democracy protests against military strongman Chun Doo-hwan. Victims’ groups say hundreds were killed.
There was also a problem with a slogan the Starbuck campaign used: “thwack on the desk”. It echoed a notorious cover story used by police after the 1987 torture death of student activist Park Jong-chul. Authorities at the time initially claimed Park died because an officer had used his fist to “hit the desk with a thwack”.
Marketers chose the slogan after consulting an AI tool, looking for suggestions, Shinsegae Group said. It turned out some managers who approved the campaign never opened the email attachments showing the marketing material.
In a statement issued before his dismissal, Son apologised and pledged company-wide education on historical awareness and ethics.
Following the controversy, card payment volumes at Starbucks stores plunged 26% in a week, according to market data, with May card payments down 10% on the previous month. And customers began demanding refunds from an estimated 400bn won ($260m) held in Starbucks prepaid cards...
I'm not lying.
1. A hugely valuable national asset when arguing for independence.
2. A virtually exhausted irrelevance when someone suggests producing more of it.
The resource hasn’t changed nearly as much as the political convenience of the argument.
If oil and gas really are so insignificant now, that raises some awkward questions about a decade of “Scotland’s Oil” campaigning. If they’re still economically important enough for Aberdeen jobs and tax revenues to matter, then perhaps they’re not quite the exhausted relic we’re suddenly told they are.
Consistency remains the rarest natural resource in Scottish politics.
That's why I find it hilarious.
Anyway, the day beckons. have a good weekend all.
🤣🤣
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/jun/05/botched-deportation-home-office-taxpayer-bill
There were many stupid arguments being perpetuated by the SNP during the last Independence campaign. The Oil and Gas argument and what happens to the revenue was not one of them.
He bought his house in 2012 for £600,000. He has had about £150,000 in work done on the place. When he tried to sell in spring last year he priced it at £500,000 on the recommendation of various estate agents and got no interest at all. He has now taken it off the market. The collapse in house prices in Aberdeen in the last 2 years has been remarkable.
Even after the decision on North Sea oil, they were doing a significant amount of work, supplying equipment for export.
High energy costs are driving them into the ground.
Edit: Actually I'd be surprised if the number of UK citizens who use cash is anywhere near as low as 30m. I always choose phone payments if I can but still carry a few tenners around for those rare vendors who won't take electronic payments. So strictly speaking, I still use cash (occasionally).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1963_Kinross_and_Western_Perthshire_by-election
There's a difference.
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So outside events rather passed me by.
for years nowsince Wednesday.https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9d37gdxp7xo
https://www.theguardian.com/books/ng-interactive/2026/jun/06/readers-top-100-novels-of-all-time
International untraceable funding is one issue for the Govt to pick up in their funding overhaul, alongside many others.
I wonder if someone like the group at Sheffield Hallam who dug into online of MPs have been on it?
I don't know when this happened but they seem to have a new or newish "online portal" for billing etc.
As far as I can see it is totally unusable.
I can't even set or change the password. I've never been give a password or a username for the new portal. All it will do is send email links to log in.
Totally unsecure imho.