Why Ayatollah Khamenei should follow the betting markets (if he's still alive)
Why Ayatollah Khamenei should follow the betting markets (if he's still alive)– politicalbetting.com
America’s adversaries are always searching for an edge—advance warning of a military strike, a window into classified decision-making, a tool to sow panic in financial markets. They may have found all three in the same place: prediction markets.
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The battle for hearts and minds is developing, and not necessarily to the US's advantage.
The men's Iranian football team are going to be playing matches in America in just over three months.
I will be migrating the PB Server today. I am hoping this will be entirely seamless, and you won't notice a thing. But it's entirely possible I mess up at some point along the way.
Here's hoping.A failed missile launch in Iran caused the projectile to fall on a school. Images captured the moment it failed, fell back to ground, and struck.
The Iranians - just like the Palestinians in Gaza at the beginning of the war - immediately claimed it was a missile fired by the United States or Israel.
But there’s still always a school isn’t there?
I understand a lot of Rural Market Towns did similar to make up time and allow all the family to attend market.
Cue mass withdrawals
US v Israel Fnal
We are at that last resort.
Keir Starmer has used the conflict in the Middle East to sneak out yet another ministerial resignation. Another time he’s lacked the backbone to sack a minister who was obviously in the wrong.
Simons was in charge of a group that deliberately smeared journalists, even using a journalist’s Jewish faith to call him into question. Labour hasn’t changed.
The “think tank” Labour Together has donated or provided support to over 100 Labour MPs, including many of the Cabinet. Their former staff members are in positions of influence across Government, including as civil servants. Simons has resigned so it’s clear Labour Together is utterly finished as an organisation. Keir Starmer must tell us immediately if he will now end Labour Together’s links with his government and return the tainted money they’ve donated.
Back to the Eddie Izzard comment. We’re fine with regimes killing THEIR OWN people. When we try and help and ACCIDENTALLY kill a small number (relatively) of people then somehow we’re the bad guys? Come on.
My sister who was at Heathrow waiting to fly to India this morning has had her whole holiday cancelled as they can’t provide a new date. She understands why but she doesn’t know what to do about the cocktail of drugs she had to take before flying to India.
I suggested she goes home, puts the heating onto max and have a curry to see what happens.
Someone filmed the Iranian suicide drone attack from INSIDE the Bahrain hotel.
Extraordinary footage.
https://bsky.app/profile/newseye.bsky.social/post/3mfwvkidqw22e
Can we work on this please?
I'm sure everyone would rather want to know why you want to fully support the US and zisrael and take the UK to war?
More important than silly political games.
Multiple oil companies / traders have asked their tankers to wait on either side of the Strait of Hormuz for now. Everyone is watching on whether the Iranian navy and/or IRGC move to lay mines, and on whether the US made good on its promise to neutralize the Iranian navy.
https://x.com/JavierBlas/status/2027764136159990045?s=20
But when someone actually DOES SOMETHING that may end that, the ones wanting to end it are cast as greater villains than the ones they’re trying to stop. This is only logical in left wing politics and world view - where hatred of the West (which has allowed their opinions on the first place) is the primary and only concern.
And lot more children died than that to defeat Hitler.
So it's all just bullshit, isn't it.
Seems it’s pulled out of a leftwing blogs arse.
But you don't care about that, because you want to be against "the Zionists".
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckg3elr1dwpo
Gaza was a just war, triggered by Hamas. People die in war. That is all on Hamas.
Iran slaughtered civilians.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/idf-believes-70000-gazans-killed-in-war-as-claimed-by-hamas/amp/
BREAKING: Israel’s PM Benjamin Netanyahu says there are “growing signs” that Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is “gone”.
https://bsky.app/profile/vcdgf555.bsky.social/post/3mfwwj6hr7c25
Belgium is fine, but invasion and regime change in New Zealand will upset plans….
Are you nuts btw?
EXCL w/ @ShipleyWrites
Ann Limb, one of Starmer's new peers, will not take her seat in the Lords for now after a Sunday Times investigation.
We recently revealed she lied about having PhD - and today report she sold charity assets leading two staff to bank secret £1m+ bonuses.
I do rather like zisrael, though.
Watching posters (d)evolve is interesting.
Blasted to bits gone, or leaving on a jet plane bound for Moscow gone?
Should we set aside our differences and support the fight against the greater evil? As Carney and Albanese, no fans of Trump, have both done.
Peter Oborne
@OborneTweets
·
7h
When Israel attacked an Iraqi nuclear reactor ("Operation Babylon") Maggie Thatcher charged Israel with a "grave breach of international law." She added: "I uphold international law. Once we go away from that, we shall not know where we are." Here Badenoch endorsing war crime.
https://x.com/OborneTweets/status/2027709668483531029?s=20
Tell me that you’ll wait for me
Hold me like you’ll never let me go…
The tricky bit is that the Supreme Leader goes comms off when he goes into hiding so this may be hard to verify. if they've caught him here, comms on, he clearly wasn't expecting a daylight attack.
‘ Following the ongoing situation in Iran, I am convening a special Security College on Monday.
For regional security and stability, it is of the utmost importance that there is no further escalation through Iran’s unjustified attacks on partners in the region.’
https://x.com/vonderleyen/status/2027756878575362119?s=61
Timeline:
2014: Trump says Obama will invade Iran because he's not a good enough negotiator to get a deal with them
2015: Obama, with the backing of the EU, China, Russia and others, gets a deal with them
2018: Trump cancels deal bc it was Obama's and says he can negotiate a better one.
2018-2020: Trump can't negotiate one. Arms control experts and Trump officials start to grumble that scrapping Obama's deal was probably a bad idea.
2025: Trump still can't negotiate a new deal
2025: Israel launches an attack on Iran. Drags Trump in. Trump claims Iran's nuclear capacity was wiped out
2025-2026: Trump still can't negotiate a deal
2026: Trump launches a regime change war on Iran, at Israel's goading
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cq6q0l9e7plo
The worst part for Simons is the BBC assumes no-one has heard of him, so shoves ‘Minister’ into the headline.
*rather more than two thirds if measured by mass.
I think Trump would call his war in Iran a victory if the regime is toppled, even if it led to a civil war where many innocents die. I do not for a momement believe that Donald Trump is bothered what happens to ordinary Iranian citizens.
https://x.com/israelradar_com/status/2027828650242953572
ISRAEL SAYS KHAMENEI'S BODY WAS FOUND (N12 News)
I think if he’s gone, the regime goes with him.
Maduro and Khameini both within one strike is pretty damn impressive.
However, that’s not a fatal objection. The clear successor doesn’t always succeed even in a dictatorship - Hitler handed over to Doenitz, Lenin was replaced by Stalin, Stalin by Khrushchev.
The Greens are mental these days, not the cuddly tree hugging NIMBYs of the olden days.
... sorry I can't finish it with a straight face.