It’s looking like ajockalypse now for Labour – politicalbetting.com
It’s looking like ajockalypse now for Labour – politicalbetting.com
NEW Scottish Political Monitor from @ipsosinscotland.bsky.social ?SNP continue to lead on Scottish Parliament voting intention, with 35% of the constituency vote share,??1 since June.?Reform UK stand at 18%,??4 since June.?Scottish Labour’s share falls to 16%, ??7 since June.
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Reform taking them both to the cleaners.
Chloe Kelly
A womens rugby player
Luke Littler
Rory McIlory
Lando Norris
Hampton won’t win it, but would be very funny if she did.
Then you look at the alternatives and see why.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cn09x11yr7ro
Anyway, the full SPotY shortlist is gender-balanced but with two lady footballers so presumably not too much thought went into it.
Chloe Kelly – Football
Ellie Kildunne – Rugby Union
Hannah Hampton – Football
Lando Norris – Formula 1
Luke Littler – Darts
Rory McIlroy – Golf
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/articles/cx2d33y4gzwo
@Milo_Edwards
[12hrs into my ice interrogation]
agent: in 2021 you posted “they should call him matt hardcock am i right fellas” can you explain that?
me: do you know who matt hancock is?
a:…
[43mins later]
a: he had his own app? for parkour?
me: no the parkour was a separate issue
https://x.com/Milo_Edwards/status/1998895405690748967?s=20
Reform also up to 18% on the regional list so slim chance of first unionist majority since 2011 if unionists vote tactically on the constituency vote. Indeed Scotland may have a swing to Labour next year at Holyrood, despite swings from Labour in England and Wales in the local and Senedd elections there which might be enough to save Sir Keir's job
Glasgow councillor Thomas Kerr was jockeying for the position so his nose may be out of joint.
According to modelling by the Office for Budget Responsibility, the retreat by UK pension funds from the gilts market might alone be pushing up debt servicing costs by as much as 0.8 percentage points.
Telegraph
So, ending final salary is basically hitting today's tax payers.
I'm pretty certain that if the immigration agents decide to harass you, which is hardly unknown, the information will be readily available.
It's not inconceivable that the Palantir types get involved in automating such harassment.
The right has no solutions to the country's olls in large part because it needs them, a happy, contented electorate doesn't vote for dog whistle divisive politicians.
Got to say I can’t think of any reason why I need to visit the USA, Japan and China are way more tempting
There look to be some interesting betting opportunities next year between Scottish, Welsh, US mid terms and leadership defenestrations.
I have a few quid on her.
I don't have an opinion on SPOTY but there does seem to be a lot of public support for women footballers.
It is a boring debate though. Darts is a recreational sport not a physical sport, we all know that, so it just depends on our own internal preferred definition of the word sport, rather than anything objective.
Very good to see pubs are starting to ban Labour MP clowns from their premises, perhaps it will jog their odd brain cell.
I also think the Telegraph criticism would be there whatever she does, and they are shameless in attacking her for both the fiscal gap being too small and being too big within a couple of weeks.
@HYUFD has this great fear of Scottish Independence so much so that he interprets Scottish polls on a Unionist Holyrood majority
However, I think it more likely Holyrood 26 will see the greens propping up a SNP Government with a majority Independence coalition
That doesn't mean Independence follows, but if Westminster labour continue their decline then anything could happen
Womens football is fairer to be included, in my opinion.
But Rory should win no question.
Why isn't McTominay in it?
https://www.thenational.scot/news/25688676.scottish-independence-support-reform-insights-new-ipsos-poll/
Best SPotY prices are:-
Rory McIlroy – Golf – 8/11
Chloe Kelly – Football – 7/2
Lando Norris – Formula 1 – 5/1
Luke Littler – Darts – 33/1
Hannah Hampton – Football – 50/1
Ellie Kildunne – Rugby Union – 100/1
Chloe and Lando have been flip-flopping for some time.
Ryder Cup 5m
Darts 5m
Guess the last F1 race might be around 5m too.
So Lando by a mile for me
As always the trend is your friend. The question remains what happens next - does it continue or is there swingback of the kind not seen in the Westminster election?
The SNP are banging the independence drum harder than ever. As a party they are penniless and they can hardly run on their record in government, so they have little else left. These polls show the way to another SNP / Green government, but I would be surprised. (1) that didn't work at all well for the SNP last time and (2) Swinney is saying that a vote for an independence party other than the SNP is a vote for the union.
Fun times ahead. I shall join the fight in January...
BTW why aren't the LDs doing better? I'd have expected some flight from the Tories and Labour at the very least, as well as from the SNP givenj their losses.
Well, that's it - I can officially announce my disengagement from the world has begun.
The first thing I read this morning is some nonsense about Calibri being considered a "woke" font while Times New Roman is a "manly authoritarian" font apparently. Seriously? The "Culture Wars" have crossed from stupidity to something else I can't define - when people complained about ads at Waterloo Station it was all good fun but now...well, who knows?
Then we get the list of SPOTY contenders - I've heard of McIlroy and Norris but that's about it. I don't watch women's football for the same reason I don't watch men's football anymore - I'd rather watch some other sport. Presumably they don't want anyone with "an issue" these days - they once had Frankie Dettori and he enjoyed some recreational drug taking so presumably Oisin Murphy's alcohol issues rule hime out but what about William Buick? He's just a nice chap - excellent backstory and a very good rider as he showed in Hong Kong on Wednesday.
It also seems the Monroe Doctrine is back - the precursor to the Brezhnev Doctrine. "Spheres of influence" - like footballs and rugby balls, I presume.
Normally I'd be wary about giving it to a back, because you have to know a bit more about the game to understand the value brought by the forwards (I would have given it to Martin Johnson rather than Johnny Wilkinson in 2003) but Ellie Kildunne is genuinely something special.
One of the footballers, I'd have thought, just due to numbers watching. Kelly has the 'nice girl' image, more than Hampton, so probably her.
Don't fancy those odds though. When I've bet on this I the past it's been repeatedly laying favourites just after they've won something. Olympic years particularly good for that
Being the best individual out of 100m is more impressive than being the best player in the best team out of 3m.
On the second point, we're laser focused on specific areas. As we saw with the Westminster campaign that strategy underreads on support and thus seat predictions...
I reckon about 8m at the most
But that's political disengagement. Culture - which is mostly unmolested by MAGA - continues to be global, as does finance.
One surprise is that the EU haven't created a European payments system. I literally cannot spend money in the UK without using a US financial system of some kind. All credit cards run on American systems. All bank cards to withdraw cash the same...
Trump on the President of Colombia: He better wise up or he will be next. I hope he is listening, he will be next.
https://x.com/Acyn/status/1998861188332146970
The country could be losing 20,000 jobs a month, Powell said, a concern that was part of the decision to cut interest rates
https://www.wsj.com/economy/jobs/fed-chair-jerome-powell-says-u-s-may-be-drastically-overstating-jobs-numbers-741c635d
High electricity prices have nothing to do with artificial intelligence and EVERYTHING to do with unaffordable, unreliable and intermittent green energy!
https://x.com/SecretaryBurgum/status/1998440572214804785
Tourism will remain at record highs and............ oh wait. No it won't.
We're also continuing to focus on held and target seats at council level. Again, build support locally as they then tot up regionally.