Hypothetical polls are still bobbins – politicalbetting.com
Hypothetical polls are still bobbins – politicalbetting.com
18% of Britons say they are likely to consider voting for a new left-wing party led by Jeremy CorbynHowever, this is less than would consider voting for the existing major parties and has caveats… ?yougov.co.uk/politics/art…
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Surely the choice of the word “consider” doesn’t help. “considering” doesn’t just mean that you are considering positively - it could also be “yes, I considered voting for Corbyn and my consideration was that there is no way in hell I would vote for him.”
How many people did they ask if they had considered Corbyn weren’t viewing considering as maybe voting for him but just being normal and looking at all options and writing off a number of them immediately.
Would it be better to have asked “on a scale of one to ten would you possibly vote for Jeremy Corbyn”.
I don't think 49 overs is likely to be unprecedented.
BritishIrish rider to win the stage in the Tour de France.Suggests a tight fight ahead though despite current poling
Now 16.00
Still waiting at 16.24
A Motability car should be restricted to a basic Corsa and none of your fancy metallic colours.
Between the PLP and Lord Computer Says Its Illegal Under International Law, difficult to see what reforms they can achieve.
And no bad thing.
ETA: Anecdotally I know people who have eschewed the Motability offerings - due to lack of flexibility in that - and done a DIY solution, while receiving relevant benefits
It's quite a skill. Without wanting to cue Leon, I wonder how well AI would do the speech-to-French-text-to-English-text-then-speak-with-nuances-in-real-time? It's more complex than basic translation.
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/women-s-wimbledon-2025/bencic-v-iga-swiatek-betting-34500507
Still IMO the 'best' way forwards - even if increasingly difficult.
I regret having to make Leon's head explode and ears go to sleep but Labour being only a few points behind the least worst in GE polling + being least worst party for the % of people who would consider voting for them means they are faves (just) for most seats next time and slightly stronger faves for leading next government.
This is not an exciting prospect.
This agreement marks yet another step in the wrong direction – doubling down on deterrence rather than offering meaningful protection. Prioritising tougher enforcement without creating safe, legal routes is both dangerous and ineffective. Evidence shows that these policies don’t stop people from seeking safety – they simply force them into more perilous journeys, putting lives at risk.
Proposals such as a ‘one-in, one-out’ scheme risk undermining the right to seek asylum, a core principle of international law. They ignore the root causes of why people cross borders in the first place – to escape conflict, persecution and crisis. Border security must not come at the expense of human rights or the UK’s moral and legal obligations.
A grubby deal between two Governments that trades human lives. A deal that will likely be expensive, will make life harder for people who seek safety in the UK, but will do nothing to tackle the root cause of crossings - a lack of safe routes
This pilot framework will be decided once the legal issues are resolved and agreed in the EU
So not agreed yet
Hello ECHR
Eg with me. Every GE I consider all the political parties. I look at their values, key policies, read the manifestos, of course I do. It's called due diligence. Respect for our democratic process demands no less.
Only after all of this do I feel comfortable making up my mind to vote Labour.
@TSE’s ban on harsh insults is bearing fruit. A month ago I’d have launched a Putin style assault of cuss-drones at you, F bombing all over the oblast
Now I’m only allowed to call you a “weirdo” yet that is oddly satisfying. Probably because you are a weirdo
Weirdo
At 20% VAT its leases will be no cheaper than ordinary ones and it can stick to its original job of providing modified or special vehicles.
@DPJHodges
This is (one of) the classic problems with this government. The return agreement with France is a small but positive step. But it's been so over-spun with the "one in one out" nonsense, by the end of today it's going to look like another huge policy failure."
https://x.com/DPJHodges/status/1943221077292765233
He is so dismally wet
Find Out Now voting intention:
🟦 Reform UK: 31% (+1)
🔴 Labour: 22% (-)
🔵 Conservatives: 19% (+3)
🟠 Lib Dems: 13% (-2)
🟢 Greens: 9% (-2)
Changes from 2nd July
[Find Out Now, 9th July, N=2,651]
Any ECHR issues would surely affect both the UK and France.
Weirdo
Of course the 'deal' will be shit for Britain when it comes.
The question here in my sanctum sanctorum in East London is whether any new anti-Labour party on the "left" will be able to mobilise a single slate of candidates for next year's London local elections. We also have a Mayoral election where Labour, presumably not putting up Roksana Fiaz, could be vulnerable to a "local" candidate from the Newham Independents (Mehmood Mirza perhaps?), backed by any anti-Labour party led by Corbyn and Sultana.
A single anti-Labour slate of candidates could do very well in the Muslim areas of Newham leaving the Greens in Stratford but whether that would be enough to deprive Labour of a majority on the Council is debatable.
My mainly Hindu ward usually gets the Labour candidates home with 65% of the vote. Labour hold off the Newham Independents in the Beckton and Little Ilford contests two weeks after the GE but the latter was aided by a spoiler put in by a friend of Labour (supposedly) so we could see similar local spoiler candidates suddenly appear next May.
All very interesting...
No party looks truly ready to confront tax-resistant voters with some hard questions
Robert Shrimsley" (£)
https://www.ft.com/content/adfd7fe4-d06e-40e3-a26c-a80828dc2fb4