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Happy Eurovision day – politicalbetting.com
Happy Eurovision day – politicalbetting.com
What kind of song do Britons think should win Eurovision? The one that is technically best, or the one that is the most fun?Among all BritonsBest song: 51%Most fun: 18%Eurovision fansBest song: 57%Most fun: 36%yougov.co.uk/entertainmen…
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F1: happy Imola qualifying day!
Had a tiny, daft, bet on Gasly at 81 each way.
Foxy said:
Well it looks as if Starmers relaunch as Reform-lite is working as some of us predicted:
https://bsky.app/profile/yougov.co.uk/post/3lpbk6a32b22u
My shamelessly partisan take on these numbers:
Ed Davey is not only substantially more popular on net ratings than any of the others (unless you count Carla Denyer who has a 75% “don’t know”), but
- he is up since the election, almost unknown for a Lib Dem
- He is up *24%* with 2024 Tory voters since the last election. The biggest upward movement of any politician with any voter group. His net rating with that group is better than all the other leaders’ national ratings
That tells me those 2024 Tories who don’t have the taste for Farage are poised to switch in large numbers to the yellow peril.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/may/16/trump-tv-gameshow-citizenship-report
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/special-bets/market/1.241438166
That word is tabu for casual use in several European countries - like the f and c words here. Naïve choice imo
I said, come on: the Polish washerwomen.
Straight as FIFA.
It's a shame to talk politics on Eurovision Day, but it is extraordinary that Starmers relaunch as Farage-light has simultaneously cratered his support amongst Labour voters and halved it amongst Reform voters, albeit with the latter from a very low base.
Keir Starmer's net favourability rating has dropped 12pts in a month to -46, his lowest level ever, including a 34pt drop among Labour voters
All Britons: -46 net rating (down 12 from 13-14 Apr)
By 2024 vote
Labour: -5 (down 34)
Lib Dem: -13 (down 12)
Conservative: -76 (up 1)
Reform: -94 (down 5)
And Badenoch struggles to make a ripple. I didn't expect much from her, but she has surprised on the downside.
A source at the firm sent RollOnFriday this image from AG's new BD Hub, suggesting it's a "bit of a design fail..."
On the face of it, it's a depiction of someone stacking blocks, perhaps to convey team-building or some other corporate message. But looking at it from a certain angle, and it appears to be a hand shandy.
An Addleshaw Goddard spokesman sought to clear things up by sending the actual image, stating: "It is clearly building blocks."
"We can see how the out of focus screenshot can be viewed in a different light," the spokesman added. "We'll take note and update the graphic." Presumably the new image will be something that can no longer be mistaken for someone indulging in the pleasures of the palm, under any light.
It's not the first time that staff at a firm have been hit with phallic imagery.
https://www.rollonfriday.com/news-content/exclusive-addleshaw-goddard-design-cock
I do read the headers but don't watch telly. It rather surprised me the the UK wasn't ousted from Eurovision song contest when we Brexited.
It's a good song, so it'll be politics that pops it into 6th-10th, or lower, if it happens.
Allahthe Ukrainians I didn't end up in the poorhouseUnlike previous contests I am not planning to drink - which is an intriguing idea. I hope it as much fun sober as it is drunk...
Meanwhile, Glasgow appears to have been music city yesterday. I went to the Steven Wilson show and was blown away for two and a half hours. Wondered who was on at the SEC going off the people I saw heading back from it last night and realise it was the Goddess Kylie.
We don’t need ‘GRANDSTANDERS’ in the Republican Party
So, he's gone then?
I went to one in Oxfordshire a few years ago - met some members of the Bullingdon Club who couldn't put up a gazebo between them. That, by the way, was the point when I knew Britain was finished.
The Club put their name to a race on the card - whether they put up any money now I don't know but the Cup was large enough. Four went to post and one of the on course books went, I kid you not:
1/2, 10/11, Evens, 6/4
I decided to head for the sanctuary of the refreshment tent...
https://x.com/PerformerLaw/status/1923464416546242629
I find it hard to pick a winner, but the top 5 or tp 10 market is a better bet. Finland, Iceland, Estonia and Ukraine are worth a punt.
Israel has a good song but is not going to do well in the voting. The UK entry is lame, but not bad enough to go bottom.
We do it for the comedy. It's also kinda fun.
I fully expect all sorts of shenanigans take place on the Jury vote, and it's as straight as a nine-bob note.
It's much bigger than it was back in Katie Boyle's day.
It's overcast here. Scotland stole our sun.
My favourite song this year is Austria although it’s in a similar vein to the Code last year so probably won’t win .
I have no clue who will win !
Reform is far better at being Reform than any other party. Many Reform voters are motivated by anger at the traditional parties. Merely putting on Reform’s coat is barely going to scratch that.
Which 4 celebrities (plus reserve) from The Traitors UK (whatever that is) would you like to have with you for lunch? I'm with Celia Imrie, Kate Garraway, Clare Balding and Tom Daley. My reserve is probably Alan Carr.
There are two or three I would relocate to St Helena.
No idea who Celia Imrie is, or quite a few others on the list.
Bridget Jones film series, Calendar Girls (2003), Nanny McPhee (2005), The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (2011), The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (2015), Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (2018)
TV:
Upstairs, Downstairs, Bergerac, The Nightmare Man, Oranges Are Not the Only Fruit, Casualty, Absolutely Fabulous, and The Darling Buds of May.
And plenty of stage.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7m1ywj8Dyaw&t=810s
But medium to longer term immigration will fall and if he’s lucky waiting lists will also come down, economy might grow a bit and things might look very different.
I stand by my predictions but very happy to reassess where things are in 2028.
For too long, Britain has been addicted to cheap overseas labour — while 1 in 8 of our own young people aren’t in education, employment or training.
I'm putting our young people first, investing in skills they need and ending our dependence on foreign labour.
"We're flying the flag all over the world
Flying the flag for you"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XT6yOIC6ihI&t=3s
https://x.com/IanMurrayMP/status/1923351324214624446
https://youtu.be/VJ920cN2HmA?si=HWbBZXR9d0g5x5Z5
This may be enough for now to progress towards a possible outcome that by 2029 there will be two main camps rather than two main parties. One camp is Reform; the other camp is everyone else (Scotland, Wales and NI are different). And the rule will be simple: Everyone who is going to vote in England will either vote Reform or anti-Reform.
This could give tactical voting, Bar Charts, 'Winning here' and 'One More heave' a completely new lease of life, shifting LD hopes from 100 seats max to being a national party. 'The only party that isn't Reform, isn't actually certifiable and hasn't trashed the country'. Yet.
Maybe a private lunch with Charlotte Church.
Also let me introduce you to Big John Owls.
I'm sure I'm unusual (not least as I'm posting here) but if I'm not, Labour are in trouble indeed.
What happened?
Perhaps the original concept just became too dull.
Very large numbers of people will vote along the lines of that binary division, with massive effort going into making it a uniquely tactical election. LDs have the most to gain. Tories already lost it, so Labour have most still to lose.
Bet according. DYOR. Shares can go down as well as up.
I don't know why I don't repeat myself, I just never repeat myself.
It was truly crazy for me to predict a Labour victory at the height of Johnson’s time but it just shows how much can change.
I don’t underrate Sir Keir.
More likely to me is that the votes split everywhere and 30% becomes enough to win many seats, with voters having to guess who's in play in their area. I agree the LDs have plenty to gain in that scenario, but they don't have many second places and don't have the muscle to break into weak areas the way Reform do.
Leicestershire (Loughborough): A Reform Councillor is a former police officer sacked in Jan 2024 for misconduct / dishonesty / breach of professional standards - around running a second business undermining his police duties. If he was still a policeman he could not be a Councillor under "politically restricted job" criteria. The campaign was around integrity and principles.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/andrew-hamilton-gray-reform-councillor-sacked-leicestershire-police-spain-b2750701.html
Gloucs: Reform councillors say they want help and advice on how to do the job.
https://www.gloucestershirelive.co.uk/news/gloucester-news/reform-councillors-say-want-help-10183571
(Narrator: I give the second group credit for taking their roles seriously.)
The EU is preparing to apply much higher tariffs on Ukrainian imports within weeks, hitting Kyiv’s economy at a crucial time in its fight against Russian aggression.
The decision to abruptly end special trade arrangements — which allowed most Ukrainian goods to enter the EU duty free — came after Poland led a push to protect the bloc’s farmers, according to diplomats.