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This bodes well for Labour to receive tactical votes – politicalbetting.com
This bodes well for Labour to receive tactical votes – politicalbetting.com
Which potential coalitions have the most support from Britons?Lab-LD: 38% supportLab-LD-Grn: 38%Lab-Grn: 37%Con-Ref: 27%Con-LD: 23%Con-Grn: 20%Lab-SNP: 20%Con-Lab: 15%LD-Ref: 15%Lab-Ref: 10%yougov.co.uk/politics/art…
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The reduction will form part of a 12-month “temporary arrangement” ahead of striking what Britain and the US hopes will be a comprehensive trade deal in the coming months.
It is understood that British car makers will be given a quota of 100,000 that will be able to be sent to American shores at lower tariffs
(It'll probably be on the menu at Downing Street....)
The odds were high and a clear 2 horse race.
Plenty of Green voters preferring to vote Green and passed up the opportunity to 'keep Farrage out'.
The Tory vote appears, by and large, to have gone over to Reform.
It’s a sign of how crazy Washington is these days that this remarkable good news went almost unnoticed. Maybe that’s because the omnipresent news magnet, President Donald Trump, had little to do with it. Instead, it was crafted quietly by a diverse group that included a bipartisan team of senators, a Biden administration intelligence chief, a Qatari mediator and, finally, the father-in-law of Trump’s daughter Tiffany."
source$: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/05/06/congo-rwanda-peace-trump-rubio/
(I say "potentially" because there are so many ways this could go wrong -- and powerful leaders with an incentive for sabotaging it. I don't think, for example, that "Emperor" Xi will be happy with the fact that the deal may give the West access to important minerals in the area.)
It will be interesting to see how many BLM supporters applaud this effort.
https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/uk/pupils-in-poorest-uk-areas-being-locked-out-of-key-a-level-subjects-due-to-teach/
That's because all the physics teachers are on PB.
Now if only they used What Three Words..
The deal will involve billions of dollars of American exports including American beef, ethanol, and other agricultural products, Trump says.
"Donald" ... "Donald" ... "Donald" ... "Donald" ...
The conservative and the right should welcome the deal and also maybe a lesson to Davey that sometimes crawling and pulling all the levers is the only way rather than antagonism
It's also possible that they are first in terms of national vote share, but end up with their opposition coalescing around a challenger, and get themselves squeezed. (See Scotland, and the way that first the Tories and then the SNP got "ganged up on".)
There are numerous other scenarios too...
Don't hold your breath.
The 38.7% Labour and Reform each received was above opinion polling, particularly for Labour and was above what you'd expect for each of them
from bare proportional swing.
Some of that dip in Tory and LD vote did serve to prop up Labour, but you're right, no support from the Green side, and not quite enough overall.
Personally, I think we should have told Trump where to go but on balance I suspect Starmer is playing a much shrewder game than Trump.
Not sure Airbus will be impressed
"And we still have a 10% tariff on which will produce $6 billion of revenue for the United States."
I expect this is very difficult for Davey and the Lib Dems
"Bargain Hunt expert charged with terror offences"
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckg4180np8do
This from Lutnick’s chart in the White House…
However... (a) it's a bit late, as China now has massive tariffs on US exports, and (b) the US has proven itself to be an unreliable partner, so why would you trust that such restrictions are lifted forever?
..While no timeline exists for the new rule, the spokeswoman indicated that officials are still debating the best approach to replace it...
We are focused on LEATHILITY, MERITOCRACY, ACCOUNTABILITY, STANDARDS and READINESS.
https://x.com/DODResponse/status/1919747877355590117
Overall I think what’s been reported is okay .
"This is going to exponentially increase our beef exports. And to be very clear, American beef is the safest, the best quality, and the crown jewel of American agriculture for the world," Rollins says. Looking ahead, Rollins says "all of the meats, all of the produce" are being considered for agricultural export.
@atrupar.com
REPORTER: But we're seeing as a result that ports here in the US, the traffic has really slowed and now thousands of dockworkers are truck drivers are worried about their jobs
TRUMP: That means we lose less money ... when you say it slowed down, that's a good thing, not a bad thing
https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3looa7mqf5t2f
Tbh, that has a value to our economy as businesses can plan and predict.
@RochdalePioneers sorry to hear of your travails. I did wonder, reading your latest comments, if you were doing OK
Keep strong. The rain always passes
I do wonder if these deals are a tactical victory for a Labour PM but a strategic defeat for those in the Labour Party who really seemed to think we would be pushing to re-join the EU sooner rather than later.
In my opinion, the facts of economic life are pulling us, post Bexit, further and further from the EU but I voted for it so would think that.
If I were someone like Roger I think I'd be seriously miffed and looking at Sir Ed to kick up merry hell about a deal which puts us at such variance with our EU 'friends'
So this looks like a very limited and provisional tariff relief agreement that leaves UK exporters and US consumers worse off than pre Trump but better off than they might theoretically have been.
The only thing it would potentially affect would be the attractiveness of rejoining the customs union in future, but that’s before we see where the US and EU end up on tariffs.
Assuming that the percentage of Cons/LD/Green voters who are happy with a coalition between their own party & either of Lab or Reform would also allocate preferences in the same way, then we get:
https://bsky.app/profile/yougov.co.uk/post/3lonplmcwvs2v
He also said this:
US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick is the next up to speak and begins by saying how "huge" the UK market is.
He says the deal has opened up new market access including ethanol, beef and "virtually all products" from US farmers.
"That will add $5bn of opportunity to American exporters," Lutnick says.
"And we still have a 10% tariff on which will produce $6 billion of revenue for the United States."..
That's clearly nonsense as it implies 10% on all UK exports, which we know isn't the case, as some - steel and aero engines, for example - are tariff free.
I suspect it will be a while before any useful analysis is possible.
And that we might well end up with the U.S. thinking they have a better deal than is the case.