This kind of thing could be true, but feels a lot like what you have to say when you are not actually expecting to win and are doing your best to motivate dispirited supporters.
We don't know what Monday holds because no poll can predict the future. But it is clear the CPC are narrowing the gap. They have the momentum going into E day. Carney support is soft . CPC voters are fired up. These are all very good things heading into E day for CPC. https://nitter.poast.org/Lawsome_/status/1915178689785897107#m
On current polls the Canadian Conservatives are still polling at their highest levels since they last won a Federal election in 2011. The Liberals are just up even more but both are squeezing the minor parties the NDP and BQ rather than each other
Sure, but that's cold comfort to the Conservatives if this happens (via viewcode's linked tweet)
I doubt they'd get the near decade of adoration Corbyn still gets for increasing the voteshare but still losing.
Its a good job Zelensky name doesn't easily rhyme with English words otherwise Trump would be calling him by his nickname all the time by now.
Z's nickname in the more rarified echelons of the Russian and Ukrainian media and blogosphere is Yudushka (lit. 'Little Judas'). This isn't based on any notion of treachery but a reference to the character Porfiry Vladimirovich in M. Y. Saltykov-Shchedrin's novel The Golovlyov Gentlemen. Z's plaintive and wheedling nature is thought to be reminiscent of the luckless Porfiry.
So Trump could call him that if he is stuck for nickname ideas and has some familiarity with the darkest novel in the entire canon of 19th C. Russian literature.
This kind of thing could be true, but feels a lot like what you have to say when you are not actually expecting to win and are doing your best to motivate dispirited supporters.
We don't know what Monday holds because no poll can predict the future. But it is clear the CPC are narrowing the gap. They have the momentum going into E day. Carney support is soft . CPC voters are fired up. These are all very good things heading into E day for CPC. https://nitter.poast.org/Lawsome_/status/1915178689785897107#m
On current polls the Canadian Conservatives are still polling at their highest levels since they last won a Federal election in 2011. The Liberals are just up even more but both are squeezing the minor parties the NDP and BQ rather than each other
Sure, but that's cold comfort to the Conservatives if this happens (via viewcode's linked tweet)
I doubt they'd get the near decade of adoration Corbyn still gets for increasing the voteshare but still losing.
Corbyn did get a second shot at it after losing in 2017 but gaining votes and seats as most likely would Poilevre if he lost but gained votes and seats.
Even Carney is unlikely to be able to stretch the elastic to a 5th consecutive election victory for his party, a feat which also proved beyond John Major despite his similar come from behind win in 1992 as a new face on the block when he was trounced in 1997 five years later and had become tired and old news. Trump will also be out of the Oval Office when the next Canadian election is held
As ever with people who write about economics without studying it, completely wrong-headed. If you subsidise a sector through cheap finance, you'll simply get capital that's inefficiently used, and a bunch of shit projects, because you incentivise precisely those low return projects that shouldn't be built at extortionate expense. See Biden's $5 million/job chip factories to duplicate capacity in Taiwan, which prove exactly the opposite of what you seem to think they do. There may be an argument for them on national security grounds, there's none on economics.
The way to get a high-quality, sustainable manufacturing sector is the same way to get a good economy as a whole: low taxes, decent skills and light regulation. If America really wants more chip factories, a good place to start would be to simplify permitting, which makes building a new fab so difficult. Then think about how to provide the human skills and backup industries that are so crucial. Then once assured a decent rate of return, the finance problem should solve itself. The government replacing the private sector in allocating finance is a terrible idea because it is so wonderful at picking politically connected losers.
A foodie friend of mine actually found some cazu martzu in Sardinia. The live-maggot cheese. He sent me a video to prove it - I could see the maggots seething
😬
He then ate a fair bit and described it as “strongly flavoured and delicious”. However he confessed he was slightly unnerved when his Sardinian hosts gave him plastic goggles to wear, during the cheese feast, “because sometimes the maggots jump up to your face where they can eat out your eyes”
Three recommended cheeses: Ecorce de Sapin from France, Monte Enebro from Spain (world's best soft goats cheese?), Cashel blue from Ireland.
Bitto from the Valtellina is the king of hard cheeses. For semi-hard, look out for Aarewasser, from Switzerland. For a softer cheese, Bocconcino di Langa, a version of Tomino, is a delicious melty goats cheese from Italy. For something more widely available, it is hard to beat a decent slice of Comte.
This kind of thing could be true, but feels a lot like what you have to say when you are not actually expecting to win and are doing your best to motivate dispirited supporters.
We don't know what Monday holds because no poll can predict the future. But it is clear the CPC are narrowing the gap. They have the momentum going into E day. Carney support is soft . CPC voters are fired up. These are all very good things heading into E day for CPC. https://nitter.poast.org/Lawsome_/status/1915178689785897107#m
On current polls the Canadian Conservatives are still polling at their highest levels since they last won a Federal election in 2011. The Liberals are just up even more but both are squeezing the minor parties the NDP and BQ rather than each other
Sure, but that's cold comfort to the Conservatives if this happens (via viewcode's linked tweet)
I doubt they'd get the near decade of adoration Corbyn still gets for increasing the voteshare but still losing.
It's possible it could be closer than expected, but I still think Carney will get the votes where it matters.
This is being discussed over at Vote 2012 which seems more interested in politics these days than this site. The truth is for either the Conservatives or Labour to lose 50% of the seats they are defending is rare.
Last year, the Conservatives lost 474 but won 515 and in 1995 they lost 2,018 and won 2,169. The 2023 results which looked bad at the time (over a thousand losses) weren't historically that bad and might cause a problem for whoever is the Conservative leader in May 2027.
For now, the Tory problem is they are defending a lot of seats won on a high tide and as I indicated earlier, they are polling less than half the vote they had at this time four years ago so losses and probably big losses are inevitable. Labour are defending, I think, 300 or so seats so if they make losses it won't be on the same scale.
The other losers might be Independent candidates give more seats will have party candidates - the LDs are fighting 85% of seats and Greens 73% both well up on last year quite apart from Reform who have candidates in nearly every seat. This might accentuate Conservative losses or mitigate them if the anti-Tory vote is fragmented - we'll know much more at the end of next week.
Lord Hayward still predicts Labour will come third on seats in May behind Reform and the Tories.
This kind of thing could be true, but feels a lot like what you have to say when you are not actually expecting to win and are doing your best to motivate dispirited supporters.
We don't know what Monday holds because no poll can predict the future. But it is clear the CPC are narrowing the gap. They have the momentum going into E day. Carney support is soft . CPC voters are fired up. These are all very good things heading into E day for CPC. https://nitter.poast.org/Lawsome_/status/1915178689785897107#m
On current polls the Canadian Conservatives are still polling at their highest levels since they last won a Federal election in 2011. The Liberals are just up even more but both are squeezing the minor parties the NDP and BQ rather than each other
My small 10/1 longshot bet on the Liberals forming the next Canadian government is looking most hopeful….
This kind of thing could be true, but feels a lot like what you have to say when you are not actually expecting to win and are doing your best to motivate dispirited supporters.
We don't know what Monday holds because no poll can predict the future. But it is clear the CPC are narrowing the gap. They have the momentum going into E day. Carney support is soft . CPC voters are fired up. These are all very good things heading into E day for CPC. https://nitter.poast.org/Lawsome_/status/1915178689785897107#m
On current polls the Canadian Conservatives are still polling at their highest levels since they last won a Federal election in 2011. The Liberals are just up even more but both are squeezing the minor parties the NDP and BQ rather than each other
My small 10/1 longshot bet on the Liberals forming the next Canadian government is looking most hopeful….
I think @Luckyguy1983 said it in response to the Kemi/Farage one, plenty of people wouldn’t mind if Reform & the Tories did team up. I can imagine if a similar ad were made by the Tories last year, ft Labour & the LDs, plenty of people would have thought ‘Great, as long as it’s not you’. This one seems to be saying it’s safe to vote either Reform or Conservative because either way you don’t get Labour.
Vote Tory, get Reform.
Vote Reform, get the Tories.
That's what's on the table according to Robert Jenrick ➡️
These ads are badly confused, and trying (and failing) to do two things at once.
If you're going to target Reform voters by telling them they will get the Tories in, fine. If you're going to target wet Tories by telling them they'll get deplorable Reform in, fine. You can't do both. Because they are trying to do both, they can't really caricature or condemn either scenario, so these are both quite flattering photos and they haven't been able to say how awful it would be if one of these things happens.
Like the other one, this somewhat serves as an advert for a Tory Reform coalition.
Well quite. Something that seems to be in short supply in some areas. I saw some corbynite cretins online claiming it’s an anti poor measure as they cannot afford headphones. 🤷♂️
Just to note that the Guardian now have an editorial on the SCUK EA 2010 decision. Interestingly they do not say whether they agree with the decision, nor do they indicate where the law should stand. I should think this pretty much illustrates the dilemma the Guardian have in trying to work out what its readers would like it to think.
Wow. This Guardian editorial on the Supreme Court ruling gets so much wrong, including factually, and smears a public servant who’s only doing her job. 🧵
Do we need more laws? Or even more politicians? And can this not be covered either by existing laws on public nuisance or by the operators refusing to transport those that disrupt journeys.
It is good manners but how the flip do the LibDems propose enforcing it while doing nothing about open drug use on buses and trains? Still, as a publicity stunt to get their name in the paper just before the locals, it makes a change from Ed Davey falling in the water.
A foodie friend of mine actually found some cazu martzu in Sardinia. The live-maggot cheese. He sent me a video to prove it - I could see the maggots seething
😬
He then ate a fair bit and described it as “strongly flavoured and delicious”. However he confessed he was slightly unnerved when his Sardinian hosts gave him plastic goggles to wear, during the cheese feast, “because sometimes the maggots jump up to your face where they can eat out your eyes”
Good morning from Kyrgyzstan
Try Crozier Blue - Crozier was my mother's family, - similar to Cashel Blue and made by them, but using sheep's milk.
This kind of thing could be true, but feels a lot like what you have to say when you are not actually expecting to win and are doing your best to motivate dispirited supporters.
We don't know what Monday holds because no poll can predict the future. But it is clear the CPC are narrowing the gap. They have the momentum going into E day. Carney support is soft . CPC voters are fired up. These are all very good things heading into E day for CPC. https://nitter.poast.org/Lawsome_/status/1915178689785897107#m
On current polls the Canadian Conservatives are still polling at their highest levels since they last won a Federal election in 2011. The Liberals are just up even more but both are squeezing the minor parties the NDP and BQ rather than each other
My small 10/1 longshot bet on the Liberals forming the next Canadian government is looking most hopeful….
Cracking bet.
Mmm. Crackers. If only there were a site to advise on what to eat with crackers.
It is good manners but how the flip do the LibDems propose enforcing it while doing nothing about open drug use on buses and trains? Still, as a publicity stunt to get their name in the paper just before the locals, it makes a change from Ed Davey falling in the water.
If by open drug use you mean cannabis vapes etc then the priority should be drivers, quite normal to get a strong whiff of cannabis on my short morning cycle commute, usually from a van.
I have just been to the “biggest market in the world”
It was dusty
Not wet then.
Definitely more dusty. It’s called Dordoi
Quite remarkable. A friend writes:
Dordoi Bazaar:
After the Soviet Union dissolved, Kyrgyzstan’s economy imploded. Formal industries collapsed. People had nothing - no jobs, no supply chains, no security.
Necessity Breeds Bazaar: Out of the vacuum, people started trading - anything and everything. At first it was chaotic: selling from cars, sidewalks, fences.
Containers as Infrastructure: Shipping containers were cheap, sturdy, and stackable. They became stalls, warehouses, shelters - and slowly, an entire ecosystem of commerce.
Dordoi Group (a private company) formalised the sprawl - organizing, paving, expanding. By the 2000s, it was a full-blown economic hub, not just for Kyrgyzstan but for entire regions:
Goods from China flowed in
Buyers from Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, even Russia came to stock up
At its peak, over 20,000 people worked there. It became likely the largest open air market in the world: a kind of wild Silk Road reboot
It is probably now in decline but still ENORMOUS and STRANGE and REALLY GOOD FOR CHEAP SOCKS AND PLOV
Do we need more laws? Or even more politicians? And can this not be covered either by existing laws on public nuisance or by the operators refusing to transport those that disrupt journeys.
Doesn't seem to be very liberal of them.
Maybe if they hadn't conspired in "austerity"driven destruction of the police and criminal justice system it wouldn't be such an issue.
Miliband poised to charge homes in South more for electricity
The Energy Secretary has been weighing up whether to push ahead with zonal pricing, which would split the country’s single national power market into different regions
Like NHS , at present we produce all the cheap energy which goes to London and comes back at multiple times the price. Suck it up. Southern subsidy junkies
Bollocks. Wind farms in Scotland are coining it from constraint payments that the whole country (including Scotland) pays through green levies on electricity bills. Scotland's green energy revolution is a complete scam.
Why are we continuing to placate the USA through some sort of a trade deal? Why can’t Labour read the tea leaves? If they had any sense, they’d be looking at strengthening European and Canadian relations. Trump really doesn’t give a damn, and we should stop the pretence
Comments
I doubt they'd get the near decade of adoration Corbyn still gets for increasing the voteshare but still losing.
So Trump could call him that if he is stuck for nickname ideas and has some familiarity with the darkest novel in the entire canon of 19th C. Russian literature.
Even Carney is unlikely to be able to stretch the elastic to a 5th consecutive election victory for his party, a feat which also proved beyond John Major despite his similar come from behind win in 1992 as a new face on the block when he was trounced in 1997 five years later and had become tired and old news. Trump will also be out of the Oval Office when the next Canadian election is held
That is a painting by Adolf Hitler.
If you can't paint as well, you are literally worse than Hitler.
The way to get a high-quality, sustainable manufacturing sector is the same way to get a good economy as a whole: low taxes, decent skills and light regulation. If America really wants more chip factories, a good place to start would be to simplify permitting, which makes building a new fab so difficult. Then think about how to provide the human skills and backup industries that are so crucial. Then once assured a decent rate of return, the finance problem should solve itself. The government replacing the private sector in allocating finance is a terrible idea because it is so wonderful at picking politically connected losers.
A foodie friend of mine actually found some cazu martzu in Sardinia. The live-maggot cheese. He sent me a video to prove it - I could see the maggots seething
😬
He then ate a fair bit and described it as “strongly flavoured and delicious”. However he confessed he was slightly unnerved when his Sardinian hosts gave him plastic goggles to wear, during the cheese feast, “because sometimes the maggots jump up to your face where they can eat out your eyes”
Good morning from Kyrgyzstan
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cly5g7v2qddo
These ads are badly confused, and trying (and failing) to do two things at once.
If you're going to target Reform voters by telling them they will get the Tories in, fine. If you're going to target wet Tories by telling them they'll get deplorable Reform in, fine. You can't do both. Because they are trying to do both, they can't really caricature or condemn either scenario, so these are both quite flattering photos and they haven't been able to say how awful it would be if one of these things happens.
Like the other one, this somewhat serves as an advert for a Tory Reform coalition.
It's basic manners.
It was dusty
Wow. This Guardian editorial on the Supreme Court ruling gets so much wrong, including factually, and smears a public servant who’s only doing her job. 🧵
https://x.com/soniasodha/status/1915109460923592732
Doesn't seem to be very liberal of them.
NEW THREAD
Quite remarkable. A friend writes:
Dordoi Bazaar:
After the Soviet Union dissolved, Kyrgyzstan’s economy imploded. Formal industries collapsed. People had nothing - no jobs, no supply chains, no security.
Necessity Breeds Bazaar: Out of the vacuum, people started trading - anything and everything. At first it was chaotic: selling from cars, sidewalks, fences.
Containers as Infrastructure: Shipping containers were cheap, sturdy, and stackable. They became stalls, warehouses, shelters - and slowly, an entire ecosystem of commerce.
Dordoi Group (a private company) formalised the sprawl - organizing, paving, expanding. By the 2000s, it was a full-blown economic hub, not just for Kyrgyzstan but for entire regions:
Goods from China flowed in
Buyers from Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, even Russia came to stock up
At its peak, over 20,000 people worked there. It became likely the largest open air market in the world: a kind of wild Silk Road reboot
It is probably now in decline but still ENORMOUS and STRANGE and REALLY GOOD FOR CHEAP SOCKS AND PLOV